Extremely Intresting Market Still Ahead: We Are At A Crossroad

Discussion in 'Trading' started by shortie, May 10, 2010.

Most Likely: New 2010 Highs or New Lows First?

  1. New Highs Within 1-2 Weeks

    13 vote(s)
    13.3%
  2. New Lows Within 1-2 Weeks

    19 vote(s)
    19.4%
  3. New Highs Within 1-2 Months

    12 vote(s)
    12.2%
  4. New Lows Within 1-2 Months

    26 vote(s)
    26.5%
  5. Range Between 2010 High and Low For Months To Come

    18 vote(s)
    18.4%
  6. I prefer not to say

    10 vote(s)
    10.2%
  1. they remove the dividend from SPY as well. you will see it change in value on ex-div day.

    ***edit***
    what's strange is that the dividend is apparently indeed taken out of SPX but not out of SPY in stockcharts based on the ratio and looking 3 years back. maybe they back-adjust the values after ex-div. i always see SPY lower in value by ex-div amount in stockcharts after the dividend is paid.

    http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$SPX:SPY&p=D&yr=3&mn=0&dy=0&id=p89476911006
     
    #71     May 19, 2010
  2.  
    #72     May 19, 2010
  3. noddyboy

    noddyboy

    Yes, my bloomberg settings plot SPY adjusted for diviends (add it back) and it matches stockcharts. I have no idea what experts say -- follow the economically correct or the popular. Depends on why you think 200SMA works I guess...
     
    #73     May 19, 2010
  4. still incredibly high 1.44, so it was not FOMC minutes. i dont see anything in the calendar. VIX is at 36.

    what is the worry???
     
    #74     May 19, 2010
  5. Noddyboy, let's not get nitpicky. These technicals are not that reliable - period. How many times have you seen a dragonfly doji accurately predict a coming upmove? You don't want to play, stay long on your gold!
     
    #75     May 19, 2010
  6. noddyboy

    noddyboy

    Gold hurt today. So did long stocks.
     
    #76     May 19, 2010
  7. According to my indicators, it's a coin toss as to whether we gap up or down tomorrow. We finished red, but we did better than Europe.
     
    #77     May 19, 2010
  8. What interesting market? Sudden 1Kpoints drop in dow followed by declining trend simply means big speculators sell in May and go play worldcup, and more small traders realise it too...:p
     
    #78     May 19, 2010
  9. I know.. both got hurt today. My gold producing company has a sizeable pull back from previous high.

    It seems like the recent sell-off is a reflection of 1) Smart Money getting out 2) retail investors being cautious about the uncertainty. Supply is definitely higher than Demand.

    The news is also playing a role in this high volatility market: one moment is Greece and Euro, the other moment is Chinese "bubble" concern. Despite the positive data of Canada and US, investors are being extra careful these days.

    I pulled out some today. It's better to save my cash than to be sorry.
     
    #79     May 19, 2010
  10. no comments on high put/call and high VIX? given the level of fear, odds are we have seen the bottom and are ready for a bounce (rally for a couple of days at least).

    put/call is back to 2007-08 levels BTW.

    [​IMG]
     
    #80     May 19, 2010