iv had many rational conversations here on ET. i am a math major in computer science. i graduated and instead of continuing down the career path started by co op placements. I decided to go it on my own and try to beat the market. In may started with no knowledge about trading/finance, and now mainly due to bits and pieces of information i have put together from ET posts (and various other internet sources), I am on my path to becoming an expert on various aspects of trading and finance in a few years. i know from experience that ET has <i>much</i> more value than what the trolls and dreamers have to offer.
Felicitations on your educational and career choices. I presume you have extended your skills into algorithm development. I have found that coding up what you think you observe is very intellectually stimulating, and even occasionally produces a trading nugget. I find here that I learn less directly from posters than I do from coding up and testing what they espouse. Like most epouses, they don't work out well. A recent surprise was reading and engaging with Steve46, whom I found to be inspirational, in a circuitous sort of way. Jack is also a lot of fun. But ultimately I have found more inspiration in my damp armpits than in anything else, to wit, personal psychology, it being group psychology writ small. Plus all the voices in my head.
Excuse the kibitzing, but now you are on my epistemological turf. I hold that all possible trading knowledge is already in our minds, but not fully comprehended. In short, as Dr. Deco once so sagely wrote paraphrasing Jung, "All trading is psychology." And we all have a nice psych model in our own heads.
Most of what I do didn't come from ET, but not for lack of trying. I have found that signal analysis offered the best ideas. Joe Doaks taught me what I know about that in private tutoring. Good thing for you to go look at. Not Joe, but signal estimation theory.
by that note. the knowledge and math required to use fourier analysis in order to detect varying seasonal or frequency trends is 'already in our minds'? i think thats wishful thinking. not that iv done any research in that area. also i would like to point out any true psychologist would say that very little is 'already in our minds'. nature vs nurture, my money is always on nurture in the long run.
You DO need to study some DSP. If frequency analysis DID work, it would be Laplace transformation, not Fourier, because of the necessity for causality in time processes (no effect before cause). But, yes, I do believe that frequency analysis is already in everybody's heads. Maybe not the Cooley-Tukey algorithm, but the seeds of it are evident in primitive head scratching about epicycling. Ask guys like Joe why they immediately "got" complex mathematical ideas in collich. But here we veer dangerously close to The Physical Delusion.
not to be a devil's avocate. but everything is physical. give me the current state of the universe + all rules controlling the universe, and I can tell you absolutely everything that will ever happen from this point on. just because a system is far too complex to model does not imply good estimations cant be reached.
ROFLMAO! A prime example of The Collaboration Delusion. That two CFI's on ET will come up with a great trading idea together! Stop embarrasing yourselves.
due to a short conversation I had with another ET poster I managed to reduce my slippage in one of my systems by ~50%. counter point. i find it ironic you use the term ROFLMAO and then proceed to tell someone to stop embarrassing themselves