Can I just do some spline interpolation on the VIX futures term structure, or piecewise constant interpolation ? then E[V_t]=VIX_Future(t)/100 ? Forwards and futures are equal if the interest rate is constant over the duration of the contract.
just where I like to be I should email the authors of the papers. I corresponded with some hedge fund guru in france a couple of years ago about critical reflexivity in the markets and learned some valuable insights
I did those complex mathematical things during my University days. When I worked in an MNC and finally as a day trader, I found out that those mathematical things were useless. We just need to know + and -. Anyway, pse continue with your maths hobby mister.