Well as I've noted it is a "good, albeit a primitively understood, idea" in the Example model. However, a predictive model fully developed for YM gives the precision and certainty needed, without any drawdown days, while at the same giving the player the facility to scoop out what each trading day offers.
I sure would love to trade the YM again. But I have yet to discover the Holy Grail of YM...I mean to start working on it agian...but E-sig and button trader's front end are so expensive these days.... I want a spreadsheet and a model to work on...without CHARTS! and I do not want to be glued to the screen all day. (or night) I know, I know...I'm an idiot. Michael B.
Sir, you are so obviously full of you know what, it must be coming out of your ears by now. Filled to the brim with meaningless platitudes and cliches, you hack the day away.
Funny you should say that .. you do have to be full of what you know about the market you trade in if you want to start and win. The horsesh*t and meaningless jacking around I leave to you. Merry Christmas pal.
Why don't you then improve it and post it here as Sidi did ? You seems to know what you are talking about so post something specific .
Could you post an example trading system of what you describe as I don't understand your comments. The part about "scoop out what each day..."; does that mean you think a system should capture all of each days range or is it that it should capture all perturbations in addition to the range? DS
OK is any further real discussion wanted? Lets find out. You will have seen some of my approach in other posts. I cannot say whether any useful debate will ensue. I will try with a very small dose. I will try a starting concept. It will be completely meaningless if I don't say what I'm doing. That is not how. A predictive model predicts the price behaviour ahead. That does not mean absolute price; it means relative price. I am not predicting long term or medium term. The prediction is near term: the day ahead for the DOW (ie.YM). Why near term? Because this is the arena in which you can construct and maximize accuracy. There are it seems only a few sources elsewhere on ET which recognize rationally the potency of exploiting the near term. So you see in the Example system a valid base or idea of daily exploiting the intra-day gyrations. But it is offered without refinement and apparently without any real understanding of the context.
The example trading system has had a cracking start to the new year, producing a profit of $3,347.50 for trading 1 contract each on YM, ES, NQ, ER2 and EMD last week. Let's hope this year will see a return to wider daily trading ranges which will benefit all ORB systems like this.