Exact Science

Discussion in 'Trading' started by outsource, Sep 10, 2010.

  1. ET requires that I kill some time between posts.

    Sheet 2 is relatively harmless. there are no new points being made.

    Note horizontal hash marks for connecting to sheet 3.
     
    #351     Dec 12, 2010
  2. Sheet 3 details out the entry on the open of bar n+1 which is relative to bar n.

    #00 to 10 to 0 is the logging notation for the 300 seconds that pass on bar n+1, the ENTRY bar on the open of the bar (usually).

    the main events are H, alpha and L (lock in) these are volume relativeconditions that lead price movement.

    A price measure CAN happen in cycle trading. The N box takes care of this constraint as a "confirmation" measure of sentiment shifting. The N box is called the IBGS box and DOJI are the intrabar price "confirmation" formation. Cycle 1'ers know by PRV that a DOJI will be appearing.

    Alpha and L (lock in) nodes can precipitate an "M" DOJI which takes you to the N box.

    Note troughs are the explicite reference point for dominant moves.

    To make money all the time, there is a requirement to be on the correct side of the market. PA trading does not handle this facet.
     
    #352     Dec 12, 2010
  3. There is no sheet 4 for this series; it is a backup detail sheet.

    Sheet 5 is the left half of the HOLD 11x17.

    R and S are chosen at the beginning of bar n+2 or higher.

    As seconds pass during the bar formation the trader moves over to T and V nodes for consideration of the path as the future moves into the present as dictated my market variable binary vector based information. there is no probability involved at any time.
     
    #353     Dec 12, 2010
  4. Sheet 6 is the decision sheet for HOLD on the second bar (n+2) of a continuing dominant trend in the pattern. gain 300 seconds are counted down for the logging of rows as a series in intrabar events occurs at a rate of about four times the capability of human speech. A lot of writing is being done.

    Note the identity of beta, gamma and W with H, alpha and L of the n+1 bar chart.

    Transference of skills from an approach to a person is very important. Making it palatable is the essence of transference. this means that the Tucson group operates concurrntly on two levels. One level supports the learning of the lower level. The highest velocity progress is experienced by those helping newer traders. A collateral experience is that the calls are made before the event occurence. this steady drum beat puts everyone in a space slightly ahead of the Present. It is the space of anticipation where WMCN is on the table. the foundation of high velocity money making is taking the market's continuing offer by understanding and using the market's order of events. (See published pattern fixed order of events).

    Eeaction is not part of successful trading (See OODA CW nature of practices, the failure rate is unbelievable and astounding as proven by studies on all levels of quality)

    by this sheet all but one level of feedback origination is in play.
     
    #354     Dec 12, 2010
  5. Outsource raised the I/O question on the N box feed by a price DOJI.

    sheet 8 contains the feed system.

    It also contains the beginning of the "test" used in the IBGS condition. Trades rarely occur at the end of arbitrary bars.

    the output of the test is binary and the outputs got to other binary nodes.

    It is easy to see how a fifth grader can handle binary nodes. as he put them in a flow sheet, they work for him just as any game he plays. People may notice in the future that most game designs are only binary folk or just more complex choice folks. what is super imposed on all of this is the serial nature of choosing to become a winners after the correct choices.

    The market put the choices in the space; the minds is the decider of choices. By definition losers cannot see choices. PA cannot show choices either usually.

    Here is the exception, the lagging DOJI. DOJI is a "confirmation" choice and that is good enough to become a millionaire in little over 60 days using cycle 1 through 5 under full work conditions.
     
    #355     Dec 12, 2010
  6. This is the decision sheet for all of efficient PA trading.

    Most PA traders are notin the market to take profits, much more to even reverse and begin a new profit segment.

    For a person foreign to cycle 1 to use it for good decision making in PA trading, he has to make 3by5 cards for the letters mentioned and additionally J and K, etc....

    This decision tree does not invlove more than a few seconds. It is a teast and the consequential actions following the test results. Visually on a good platform, a color change signifies the result one way or another.

    If in an "internal", then there are more considerations.

    Sheet 10 is the textual backup.
     
    #356     Dec 12, 2010
  7. Here is sheet 10, the textual backup for IBGS's that occur on DOJI's.

    In the Tucson tading room all of the nodes and links are on a 4X8" plywood sheet.

    cyle 1 is at the top xyxle 2 is in the middle and cycle 3 is at the bottom.

    On the right of each cycle there is the N box and the feedback loops in cool chart tapes colors (green and blue)

    All forward money making links arein HOT color (red).

    We are now approaching logging and trading as if drivinga car.

    My kids learned to plow and till long before they could drive. I'm sure they used headlights while working after sunset.

    Transference is probably inhibited a lot by human characteristics. I am so glad the behavioral Finance non scientists and some scientists have explained so well why people generally want to be right rather than rich.
     
    #357     Dec 12, 2010
  8. the tooling following cycles 1 through 5 is shown on this attachment. All of these tools ae already documented.
     
    #358     Dec 12, 2010
  9. I guess everyone figured out my alzhiemers got to me and I left out sheet 11 , the EXIT sheet.

    It is knid of neat.

    An intresting exercise is to mentally build the link to the cycle 1 exit and the pattern.

    hwere are the connections for the respective forms an EXIT takes.

    You see J is related to H, beta and the Z pass.

    you lso see K is related to alpha, gamma and the second Z pass.

    In patterns ends of dominants are reached at different times. Pattern followers should take the trouble to find out how J and K differ and apply at different times in the pattern.
     
    #359     Dec 12, 2010
  10. Thanks Jack.

    Should there also be a sheet 4?
     
    #360     Dec 12, 2010