Ewj: elliott wave

Discussion in 'Technical Analysis' started by mu200411, Aug 13, 2007.

  1. bgp

    bgp

    mu200411 there is a lare M formation on the mothly cash s&p.

    bgp
     
    #841     Nov 12, 2007
  2. Mup

    Mup

    #842     Nov 12, 2007
  3. Yes bgp,
    That would be the third alternative count, Cycle Wave V)IV as a Flat Correction, which will take S&P down below 775.68
    Mu.

    Posted by mu200411 on 08-24-07 12:13 AM:

    The second alternative is a Cycle Wave V)IV running correction. Primary Wave V)IVc] may ended around Dow 10K. This alternative will be invalidate when Dow rises above 14,121.04 or drops below 7,181.47.
    The third alternative count is the most bearish. Cycle Wave V)IV is an irregular correction which should end below 7,181.47. This count will be invalidate when Dow rises above 14,121.04 or drops below 1,001.11, or Cycle Wave V)IV ends much above 7,181.47.
     
    #843     Nov 12, 2007
  4. Yes Mup,
    I agree with your triangular wave iv, it looks like a running triangle which indicated that the Market is very weak.
    This is my INDU chart for Microwave 4)c.1:3v
    Mu.
    If Subminuette Wave v is equal to
    (13669.4004, 1520.27, 2825.47 -
    13080.8701, 1450.76, 2653.6201)
    Subminuette Wave iii which is
    588.5303, 69.51, 171.8499
    points long, Subminuette Wave v which might have begun at
    13162.3203, 1464.9399, 2637.96
    will end at
    12573.79, 1395.4299, 2466.1101

    Santa + ('s Bears) is comin' to town, when the Market falls below
    12845.78, 1406.7, 2451.0701.
    http://www.smartmoney.com/news/on/index.cfm?story=ON-20071112-000005-0037
    We are now at 12987.5498, 1439.1801, 2584.1299, so we have another 141.7698, 32.4801, 133.0598 to go before all the Saints (Bears) go marchin' in.
     
    #844     Nov 12, 2007
  5. Status.
    Short position intact. Long position closed at the next sell signal yesterday.

    Bear Market Strategy: Long "Short Position", Short "Long Position".

    Scenario 1.
    The Market tanks.
    Strategy 1.
    Hold on to short position. Enter long position when there is a higher high after 250 - 300, 25 - 30, 50 - 60 down move, and closed at 1/3 - 2/3 retracement when there is a lower low.

    Scenario 2.
    The Market shoots to the sky.
    Strategy 2.
    Close short position. Enter long position for good.
     
    #845     Nov 12, 2007
  6. Futures point to higher open.
    Plan to open long position. Set target at 60,10,20. Close long position when there is a lower low near target. Set stop at the Monday low.
     
    #846     Nov 13, 2007
  7. Mup

    Mup

    That finished ED count option again....

    :)
     
    #847     Nov 13, 2007
  8. bgp

    bgp

    you know mu200411 if the dow does go down to 7500 that would put the s&p at about 690, because the s&p is the weakest .

    bgp
     
    #848     Nov 13, 2007
  9. Mup

    Mup

    I'm sure the bulls will also be seeing this on the Globex...
     
    #849     Nov 13, 2007
  10. Mup

    Mup

    A closer look on the 15min ES at that ALT Wave Degree point of 1461.50... Above means its changed degree...

    :)
     
    #850     Nov 13, 2007