Ewj: elliott wave

Discussion in 'Technical Analysis' started by mu200411, Aug 13, 2007.

  1. Aborted.
     
    #241     Sep 19, 2007
  2. Shorted. Ready to cover. Target = 1/3 retracement. Stop at last high.
     
    #242     Sep 19, 2007
  3. Head and Shoulders?
     
    #243     Sep 19, 2007
  4. Head and Shoulders pattern confirmed. Prepare to cover at target.
     
    #244     Sep 19, 2007
  5. Prepare to cover, if higher high.
     
    #245     Sep 19, 2007
  6. Target is reached. Will cover if higher high now. Long position is still intact.
     
    #246     Sep 19, 2007
  7. Covered.
     
    #247     Sep 19, 2007
  8. I need a new pair of glasses to see through the illusion.

    Is this Dow chart real?
    Dow ups ~3% Dol downs ~3%. How is constant dollar Dow Chart would look like.
    This Dow up move is not confirmed in Transport.

    Current EWMTer's position: Long.

    Futures point to weak open at a lower low.
    Strategy.
    Short at open, cover at measured move or 1/3 retracement of the up move. Stop if previous high broken.
     
    #248     Sep 20, 2007
  9. Covered. Measured move target reached.
    Long position intact.
     
    #249     Sep 20, 2007
  10. EWMTer's position is still long. Stay long, wait for 1000, 100, 200 movement before closing long position.
    No opportunity for a short trade today, unless the Dow becomes negative.

    References:
    Count#1.
    Cycle Wave V)III ended on March 12th, 2003, and Intermediate Wave V)V1]3) has just ended on July 19th, 2007. After Intermediate Wave V)V1]4) ends above 11,926.79, Primary Wave V)V1]5) may rise to 16,800.
    - Intermediate Wave V)V1]4) had ended as triangular Minor Wave 4)c ended. Minuette Wave V)V1]5)1.1:3 starts on September 21, goes up around 400 - 600, 40-60, 80 - 160.
    Count#4
    If we relocate the orthodox top of Intermediate Wave V)V1]3) to June 4th, 2007, we will get an Intermediate degree correction by date, a double zigzag that ended on August 16th, 2007. The first part is an irregular flat that ended on August 3rd, 2007.
    - Minuette Wave V)V1]5)1.3:5 starts on September 21, goes up around 300,30,60. Minute Wave 1.4 falls back to Minuette Wave

    Count#2.
    The second alternative is a Cycle Wave V)IV running correction. Primary Wave V)IVc] may ended around Dow 10K. This alternative will be invalidate when Dow rises above 14,121.04 or drops below 7,181.47.
    -Invalid now.
    Count#3.
    The third alternative count is the most bearish. Cycle Wave V)IV is an irregular correction which should end below 7,181.47. This count will be invalidate when Dow rises above 14,121.04 or drops below 1,001.11, or Cycle Wave V)IV ends much above 7,181.47.
     
    #250     Sep 21, 2007