Ewj: elliott wave

Discussion in 'Technical Analysis' started by mu200411, Aug 13, 2007.

  1. Blunder #6.
    He tried to take revenge on the Market.

    After his second and third shorts failed he tried to take revenge on the Market with the third short which quickly go against him, because the Market was well prepared this time.

    He got even for the day by sheer dumb's luck. If he slipped at his switch it would have been a real bad day for him.

    Blunder #7.
    He didn't have the gut.

    After three consecutive failed shorts, he didn't have the gut to place the last short because of insufficient time (as he cited). It turned out to be profitable, because it was at the end of Subminuette Wave iv and a double zigzag Subminuette Wave â.

    7 blunders to end a day trading career.
     
    #161     Sep 11, 2007
  2. Blunder # 8.
    He took the non-confirmation for grant.
    If he took heed of the non-confirmation he might have seen the turning tide.
     
    #162     Sep 11, 2007
  3. Minuette Wave 4)c.c
    13493.9805 1496.4 2642.6101 start of Wave c.c:a
    13029.9004 1439.29 2536.9299 end of Wave c.c:a
    13206.9502 1462.03 2578.8201 end of Wave c.c:b
    MAY END AT
    12742.8701 1404.92 2473.1399 end of Wave c.c:c?
    751.1104 91.48 169.4702 length of Wave :c = :a?
    13769.6299 1503.89 2627.75 start of Wave c.a
    12455.9199 1370.6 2386.6899 end of Wave c.a
    1313.71 133.29 241.0601 length of Wave .a
    57.1747 68.6323 70.3020 % of Wave .a
    13521.8604 1496.4 2644.45 end of Wave .b
    1065.9405 125.8 257.7601 length of Wave .b
    70.4645 72.7186 65.7472 % of Wave .b
    286.8015018 35.29398 65.3103636
    MAY END AT
    12920.1487 1426.73602 2513.509736
    IF Wave :c is .618 of Wave :a
     
    #163     Sep 11, 2007
  4. Scenario 1.
    Market opens up as Microwave 4)c.c:ci.ii then falls into i.iii to below yesterday close, then rebounds, then falls again to end Subminuette Wave 4)c.c:i at
    13029.9004 1439.29 2536.9299
    Strategy.
    Sell at Tick Wave iii down.
    Take profit around
    13077,1445,2551
    Sell again at left shoulder level, then close at end of Wave i.

    Scenario 2.
    Market opens up and gets above yesterday high.
    Strategy.
    Buy after correction and new intraday high appears. Sell at yesterday high. Buy after correction and see higher high.
     
    #164     Sep 11, 2007
  5. Sold, prepare to buy back.
     
    #165     Sep 11, 2007
  6. Close position.
     
    #166     Sep 11, 2007
  7. sell.
     
    #167     Sep 11, 2007
  8. close short postion and go long as planned.
     
    #168     Sep 11, 2007
  9. sold.
     
    #169     Sep 11, 2007
  10. Cover short and go long.
     
    #170     Sep 11, 2007