Ewj: elliott wave

Discussion in 'Technical Analysis' started by mu200411, Aug 13, 2007.

  1. Status.
    Short position closed and long position opened after the Bear Trap when there was a higher high that broke resistance trendline. Long position closed and short position opened at "W" pattern target and fifth wave count near yesterday high when there was a lower low.
    Bullish Scenario 1.
    The Market is going up as 5)1.3 which has showed subwaves 5)1.3:1i-ii and 5)1.3:1iii.i-.ii
    Sideways Scenario 2.
    The Market is going up as 4)c.d:c which has showed subwaves 4)c.d:ci-ii and4)c.d:ciii.i-ii.
    Strategy 1 & 2.
    Close short position and open long position.
     
    #1381     Dec 20, 2007
  2. Bearish Scenario 3.
    Minuette 4)c.3:4 ended as an irregular correction. The Market is going down as 4)c.3:5 which may be equal to :1 and :3 which are about 400, 50, 110 points long. The present wave is 4)c.3:5iii.iii.
    Strategy 3.
    Close long "Long position". Open short position.
     
    #1382     Dec 20, 2007
  3. Targets for Up move.
    4)c.3:3iv=13300.3496, 1464.42, 2609.73
    4)c.3:5i=13146.79, 1445.3101, 2587.04
    4)c.3:5ii=13282.0596, 1460.3199, 2608.77
    4)c.3:5iii.iii=13199.6299, 1452.34, 2600.3601

    MeasuredUP1=13334.8995, 1467.3498, 2622.0901
    MeasuredUP2=13354.4892, 1474.0801, 2642.78


    Target for down move is another 300, 40, 90 points to 12866, 1410,2493.

    Last time I didn't believe the MACD buy signal, this time I'll try following MACD sell signal. :D
     
    #1383     Dec 20, 2007
  4. ..... and even more possible now... :0)
     
    #1384     Dec 20, 2007
  5. "M" pattern completed at double bottom. A good place to enter long position but rebound is to short 50, 5, 10 points.
     
    #1385     Dec 20, 2007
  6. It's time to close long position now because there is a lower low at target 50, 5, 10 points.

    Edit.
    The market is going down another 100, 10, 20 points.
     
    #1386     Dec 20, 2007
  7. Plan to reverse position if yesterday high is broken.
    Plan to hold the short position to target if the Market is down.
     
    #1387     Dec 20, 2007
  8. Again, I would not be short this market if you held a gun to my head!

    :D
     
    #1388     Dec 20, 2007
  9. PREMIUM building in the S&P's heading into the 4:15PM close.

    This is a sign for what is in store for tomorrow with "Triple-Witch" from the Big Boys!

    Much maligned Morgan Stanley and Bear Stearns up strongly today.

    Love the RIMM earnings too!
    (+$17.00)

    Cash close: 1460.12

    DID I MENTION HOW I WOULDN'T WANT TO BE SHORT THIS MARKET EVEN IF A GUN WAS HELD TO MY HEAD???

    :)
     
    #1389     Dec 20, 2007
  10. Status.
    Still hold short position. :eek: Missed the "long" boat. :mad: It was bigger than I thought. :( (Should have followed Landis's advice! :D )
    Bullish Scenario 1.
    Subminuette 5)1.3:1ii is a triangle. The Market is going up as 5)1.3:1iii after Microwave 5)1.3:1iiå ends.
    Sideways Scenario 2.
    Minuette 4)c.d:b is a triangle. The Market is going up as 4)c.d:c after Subminuette 4)c.d:bå ends.
    Strategy 1 & 2.
    Close short position and open long position after the upper trendline is broken. Allow for some overshoot.

    Targets at
    Measured UP1=13334.8995, 1467.3498, 2622.0901
    Measured UP2=13354.4892, 1474.0801, 2642.78
    Note.
    Both targets were almost touched by NASDAQ.
     
    #1390     Dec 21, 2007