Even Michael (hockey stick) Mann recently admitted the models fail. So to answer your questions... my work has found we have not warmed outside of natural variation therefore there is not point in trying to find a man made component.
Georgia Tech climate scientist Kim Cobb said she normally doesn't concern herself much with the new high temperature records that are broken regularly. "However," she added in a Thursday email," when I look at the new February 2016 temperatures, I feel like I'm looking at something out of a sci-fi movie. In a way we are: it's like someone plucked a value off a graph from 2030 and stuck it on a graph of present temperatures. It is a portent of things to come, and it is sobering that such temperature extremes are already on our doorstep." Scientists at NOAA's National Centers for Environmental Information in Asheville, North Carolina, were astonished by the "staggering" numbers, said Deke Arndt, the centers' global monitoring chief. "Usually these are monthly reminders that things are changing," Arndt said. "The last six months have been more than a reminder, it's been like a punch in the nose." NASA's chief climate scientist Gavin Schmidt usually discounts the importance of individual record hot months, but said this month was different, calling it "obviously strange." This was due to the long-term warming from heat-trapping gases and the powerful El Nino, so these types of records will continue for a few more months, but probably will not be a permanent situation, Schmidt said in an email. But other were not so sure, including Arndt, who compared it to moving into a new hotter neighborhood. "We are in a new era," Arndt said. "We have started a new piece of modern history for this climate." http://news.yahoo.com/beyond-record-hot-february-astronomical-140020152.html It's the end of the world, as we know it.
So much for solar... Could California’s massive Ivanpah solar power plant be forced to go dark? $2.2 billion desert project not generating enough energy; backers ask for more time http://www.marketwatch.com/story/co...r-power-plant-be-forced-to-go-dark-2016-03-16 A federally backed, $2.2 billion solar project in the California desert isn’t producing the electricity it is contractually required to deliver to PG&E Corp., which says the solar plant may be forced to shut down if it doesn’t receive a break Thursday from state regulators. (More at above url)
I recently had a family member ask me to look over 3 proposals for solar power for a large commercial building California (a private equity fund) and I quickly ran into the truth about solar power in California. In arguably the most visibly and radically green state in American the truth is that the state government and power utilities do *not* want you to install solar panels on your home or office building. They give tax incentives.... but those are only allowed to be applied against certain limited types of income. And get this, they require a "grid-tie" type installation that means the power you produce is supplied to the utility who sells it back to you. The solar systems in California cannot directly power your building so in the event of a grid power outage you lose power as well! They will not allow any storage systems of any kind whatsoever. Its quite insane and I produced a single powerpoint chart showing that in the long run it was cheaper to simply forgo solar and continue to buy power from SoCalEdison (which is generated primarily from natural gas lol). And that was it. A 900 kW system didn't get installed. Why would the state government of California and the public utilities see eye-to-eye on this? Because the government is being payed off by the utilities in the form of lobbyists and campaign contributors.
As probably the only person on ET who does predictive and adaptive modelling (with a side of network security and BPM thrown in) for financial institutions for a living. Let me say that I have looked at climate models in detail (you can see my earlier posts on this) and they are complete shiat. If anyone showed up with these models in a meeting in a corporate office they would be immediately fired, in fact the models are barely worthy of an undergraduate university assignment. Yes, in other words... the AGW contentions and models are completely failed and not worthy of scientific consideration. The models have all failed to predict the actual results... and now this leads the climate cabal scrambling to explain why the models have failed ("the heat is hiding in the ocean" and other nonsense). The real problem I have with AGW "climate science" is that it has perverted science for political purposes and undermines the trust of people in science.
In rural villages in Africa and Asia, and in urban neighborhoods in South America, millions of lives have been disrupted by weather linked to the strongest El Niño in a generation. In some parts of the world, the problem has been not enough rain; in others, too much. Downpours were so bad in Paraguay’s capital, Asunción, that shantytowns sprouted along city streets, filled with families displaced by floods. But farmers in India had the opposite problem: Reduced monsoon rains forced them off the land and into day-labor jobs. In South Africa, a drought hit farmers so hard that the country, which a few years ago was exporting corn to Asian markets, now will have to buy millions of tons of it from Brazil and other South American countries. “They will actually have to import it, which is rare,” said Rogerio Bonifacio, a climate analyst with the World Food Program, a United Nations agency. “This is a major drought.” http://www.nytimes.com/2016/03/20/s...n-region®ion=top-news&WT.nav=top-news&_r=0 ***************************************************** This El Nino is showing what the new norm in ten years will be. A hungry people is an angry people.
An Upside To Climate Change? Better French Wine http://www.npr.org/sections/thesalt...n-upside-to-climate-change-better-french-wine While climate change threatens coastal cities and generates extreme weather, the effects of global warming could bring good news to some of France's most esteemed vineyards. Here, the conditions needed to produce early-ripening fruit, which is historically associated with highly rated wines, have become more frequent, according to research published online Monday in the journal Nature Climate Change. (More at above url... note the French wine makers have called the article's asserting the weather has been warmer in France since 1980 to be complete nonsense).