maybe the lower low should be marked 5 Anew two legged move to a test of the low may be bought,according to Brooks. target may be a test of the recent high
the macd shows it is probably more waves down. however the price action in the yellow circle with a lot of overlapping bars- each bar retracing the previous bar by a 'larger' amount than in the earlier fall in the same swing down. also the previous up move or swing up has been retraced. euro is now between two big trading ranges- one on the top and one on the bottom the price action in the yellow circle indicates a pull back is very likely maybe till the recent high
the chart show the yellow area in close up. whether you call the price action in the yellow circle a wedge-swing no 2 was a deep retracement-it is clear, that it is not as bearish, as the price action, that preceded the yellow circle. the big down bar, marked with a yellow arrow-the biggest in the entire swing down- shows that traders were waiting eagerly to enter short, as soon as the first pull back occurred:the next three bars would have disappointed those who entered on that big down bar.A test of the big down bar is therefore likely. A trading range type of price action is hinted by the narrowing down of the bollinger band.the 'wedge' also hints at the same thing. A big down bar on monday is the only thing which will change this outlook
yes it is cross roads-it has retraced the up move fully. i know it is stupid answer but it may move in either direction because of the highly bearish swing down till now, i think it will move in both directions-to confuse both the bulls and bears. expecting a pull back to test ema and then may have another move down; with higher or lower momentum than before.
eurusd is bottoming out buy now with a stop of 80-120 pips tighter stop may be around 50 pips from present level target 1.2159
eurusd on the daily chart has tested and gone below 1.1763 for time and recovering the 4 attempt was just now today. may test higher levels may be the big down bar on 15 /05 or even higher if it so pleases