The last 14 trades have been called live on this thread. Trading small size (but real money) still in testing period.. fine tuning..
You haven't seen it all yet, wait til he does 100 stop and 10x sizing because he had a few losses in a row; that's my favorite part of it all.
I wasn't trying to poo poo on his thread. But with a 1 to 4 profit to loss ratio you need a 80% win/loss ratio just to break even. Not counting the spread slippage commissions or data feeds.
What ? All the above remarks assume a constant bet size and a random distribution of wins and losses... Both assumptions are wrong..IMO.. The size i trade varies dramatically according the odds and i got news for you..the markets are manipulated therefore NOT random...
That IS true. http://www.automated-trading-system.com/resources/risk-of-ruin-and-drawdown-calculation-tool/
You're running a negative progression at a poor R/R which will result in immolation of your trading account. I'd state that the odds aren't altered but you'll state some cryptic shit about some conditional probability and I'll lose what little interest I had in your response. I am going to roll over until it passes. What was the topic?