EUR/USD

Discussion in 'Forex' started by KrispyKreme50, Aug 21, 2009.

  1. This is why: http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/2010/0...ampaign=Feed:+TheBigPicture+(The+Big+Picture)

    PIIS country (ex G) yields lower thx to Portugal
    By Peter Boockvar - June 9th, 2010, 8:25AM Successful bond auctions in Portugal at around 5:50am, both a 3 yr and 10 yr, sent European stock markets higher on the day after being down across the board earlier. Italian and Spanish yields fell immediately following the auction results and CDS across the PIIGS are narrower. Importantly, Portugal sold 10 yr paper at a bid to cover of 1.8, in line with the previous one in May but at a cost of 5.23%, well above 4.52% in the last one but in line with the past few days. A Chinese gov’t official apparently leaked Thursday’s important economic data and it helped to lift the Shanghai index by almost 3%. According to reuters, the official said May bank loans rose by 630b yuan vs expectations of 600b and May exports rose around 50%, well above the consensus of 32%. Also, May CPI supposedly rose by 3.1%, .1% above the forecast.

    ABC confidence continues to show the US consumer is keeping a stiff upper lip in light of all the macro concerns that have plagued the market over the past month. It rose 1 pt to -43, a 9 week high and is now 4 pts above the one year average. Mortgage apps continue to reflect the nasty, post home buying tax credit blues as the purchase component fell by 5.7% and is now down 43% in the past 5 weeks to the lowest since Feb ‘97. After 4 weeks of solid gains, refi’s fell by 14.3%. Bernanke speaks at 10am on the economy and we’re likely to hear little different from Monday nights speech. In sharp contrast to what we’ll hear from Ben, Hoenig last night reiterated his desire to hike rates to 1% over the next few months and said “monetary policy can cause asset bubbles, and frankly, I’m worried about it.” Pathetically, Bernanke still distances his (and Greenspan) policy over the past 10+ yrs from any culpability.



    Here's a great link to a news aggregator that I look at quite a bit: http://finviz.com/news.ashx
     
    #281     Jun 9, 2010
  2. Nice...

    Every time you think they are out of ammo they seem to get a shot off.

    Looks like they are really trying hard to wait out 6EM0's expiration...
    I just don't see how they are going to make it 1 more day let alone 5 days. Inevitably they have sealed their fate by their own short covers.

    But when the powers to be want to intervene and manipulate what can you do?



     
    #282     Jun 9, 2010
  3. thanks...good stuff...when does most, all volume for 6E hit Sept and leave June...what do you trade this week...june or sept...kinda weird
     
    #283     Jun 9, 2010
  4. Usually by today (Wed before expiration)
    6EM0 volume is 320K
    6EU0 is 85K so far.

    I Close out M0's and open U0's this week.

    Nice 50 tick difference between the 2 contracts hammering any roll overs ;)


     
    #284     Jun 9, 2010
  5. I guess this 'weird' week happens 4 times a year?
     
    #285     Jun 9, 2010
  6. yep. even getting squeezed by expiration i prefer futures to spot.
    Mitigating Counter party risk and transparent price feeds provide some peace of mind.
     
    #286     Jun 9, 2010
  7. Long @ 2090

    <*)))><
     
    #287     Jun 11, 2010
  8. Sold @ 2134

    Trade = + 44 points

    <*)))><
     
    #288     Jun 11, 2010
  9. Short @ 2256

    <*)))><
     
    #289     Jun 14, 2010
  10. Stopped out @ 2260

    Trade = -4 points

    <*)))><
     
    #290     Jun 14, 2010