EUR/GBP to trade or not to trade

Discussion in 'Forex' started by usdoutlaw, Oct 21, 2009.

AM I CRAZY???

Poll closed Oct 23, 2009.
  1. There is a place for people like you!

    3 vote(s)
    60.0%
  2. Here is the number of my psychatrist.

    1 vote(s)
    20.0%
  3. Nah, just the same as the next guy.

    1 vote(s)
    20.0%
  4. Oh no, you are the epitomy of mental health!

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  1. "If that is the case I don't see any reason why it should reach 95 and/or parity."

    sorry, I meant it shouldn't :)
     
    #61     Oct 26, 2009
  2. good point, maybe the end of the third leg of the daily elliot wave to the upside (I only see three crests in the macd)

    still the daily volatility is making it hard for me to do shorter term trades on the 5 min or hourly ... its basically one way trades without significant retracement on the short term time frames

    ehh looks like I will get stopped out pooh
     
    #62     Oct 26, 2009
  3. FXSnipe

    FXSnipe

    Pentothal, interesting observation. But I see something else on the chart , your completed wave 5-3 , that high point to me was a completed wave 5 , whereby wave 4 is the completed by the doji bar, I will post a chart if I get time as I do not think this will be clear enough. It seems possible it could reach parity by the end of the year. There is also a high probabability that it could reach 0.85 level by year end
     
    #63     Oct 27, 2009
  4. wow you really covered your butt on that one hehe

    "well it could go up 8 points or down 8 points ... mix and match"
     
    #64     Oct 27, 2009
  5. I have finally come to a conclusion that figuring out a pattern in this pair is kind of ridiculous ...

    I really have to imagine the pattern you guys are mentioning and if it were not for my macd indicator I would miss it

    lets just resign ourselves to the fact that "hey this thing moves to the beat of it's own drum"

    and that this pair reacts to news like its hot and is mainly (80% of the time maybe) affected by the relation ship between eurusd and gbpusd. Just divide both those pairs and you get the eurgbp

    its a mystery

    I am long this eurgbp now ... it seemed like a good idea that will take days to play out and cost me carrying costs bah hum bug
     
    #65     Oct 27, 2009
  6. ok I am wrong I am out of this ridiculous eurgbp long

    I guess the euro zone is just as bad as the uk

    good stuff everyone ... until the next time the eurgbp looks enticing
     
    #66     Oct 27, 2009
  7. FXSnipe

    FXSnipe

    hehehe funny Usdoutlaw!!! Believe it or not I hold two opposing views in my mind have been burned many times due to my bias mainly from reading the news, so everytime I get convinced something should go up , I look for opposing news to cover my behind in case Im wrong

    OK enough ramble Im short this pair from 0.9083, 50 pip stop loss , looking to hold it until Friday, well did I say Friday? I will hold it until mother Market tells me to, I will have to monitor her modd swings!!
     
    #67     Oct 27, 2009
  8. I love you Elliot Wave guys and your analysis....."it could go up, it could go down" :D
     
    #68     Oct 27, 2009
  9. FXSnipe

    FXSnipe

    cabletrader, Im not n Eliiot wave person although I spent a lot of time studying Elliot's work and read a lot fo stuff by Robert Prechter, some by Robert Miner but funny enough I couldn't make me a dime with it after all the work I put in, gosh I can even write a book on that stuff. Miner's stuff is quite good though.

    When I look a chart now I don't want to label waves as I really do not know where the market is going, welll yes I can sort of see where the "waves" are but it really doesn't influence me in any way as the makrtket neither knows whether its the 5thof the 3rd wave nor 1st of the 5th and it just doesn't care.
     
    #69     Oct 27, 2009
  10. oh come on ... its just nice to know that there is something else you can go to

    otherwise this sis the wild west and you know it
     
    #70     Oct 27, 2009