ES Trend Following

Discussion in 'Journals' started by Bombardier, Sep 8, 2011.

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  1. Adjusted stop on my ES position to 1338.

    Gold is offering a very interesting setup which I want to take. Look at this:

    [​IMG]
     
    #191     Jun 20, 2012
  2. Shorted @ 1341.50, Stop @ 1357.50

    I'm in a new short position after a very visible peak was created earlier (where the stop is placed at). A support basis broke at around 1343 which is why I took this opportunity.
     
    #192     Jul 10, 2012
  3. Still in my short position since yesterday and sitting on around $450 unrealized profits. Very tiny and vulnerable for the time being, but let's see how the trend evolves. My current observations:
     
    #193     Jul 11, 2012
  4. gmst

    gmst

    We rallied strongly around end of day today, however we had rallied also on 6th and 9th towards end of day, still we had broken out of the range to the downside. Also, we didn't make new highs today around end of day, rather price got beaten down after reaching the high made early in the day.

    There is a lot of demand in 1305 area and we witnessed a lot of demand on 6th and 9th in 1342-1344 area. However, we have still gone below 1342-44. This suggests to me that on balance, bears have an upper hand in this market. Even though there can be sharp and fast bull rallies in which ES can move up 10 points in 15-20 minutes.

    I think final tell is that ES today failed to close at high and was beaten down pretty quick from 1339.5. I think in the overnight session and tomorrow, we might re-visit 1342-1345 area, but we will retrace after that in search of newer lows, towards 1315-1320. I have an order to get short at 2576 NQ, trading NQ instead of ES since NQ is acting much weaker compared to ES for last 5-10 sessions.

    My 2 cents.
     
    #194     Jul 11, 2012
  5. I notice the very same. What's vicious about those end of day rallies is that they appear quite potent indeed, but often fail to break any significant barriers to the upside. We then generally believe that the market would do so over night and open the next RTH session with a gap up. What happens is the opposite. The challenge a trader needs to overcome is to the emotional side while watching profits deteriorate. Patience and a healthy dose of ignorance might be the fix. There is an uptrend in the 4H or daily chart which is being tested for the 4th time.
     
    #195     Jul 12, 2012
  6. Humpy

    Humpy

    Hope you don't mind me joining your thread for a while.

    I have a fairly flat day pencilled in for today, but I am often wrong !
     
    #196     Jul 12, 2012
  7. Humpy

    Humpy

    Here is a possible scenario to ponder
     
    #197     Jul 12, 2012
  8. Adjusted stop to the relevant peak in recent price action 1343.50 and sitting on about 20pt unrealized profits.

    Truly pleasing market activity :)
     
    #198     Jul 12, 2012
  9. gmst

    gmst

    Yes it was looking somewhat dicey at yesterday close, but today European hours and US hours have been pretty favorable. Nice Trade Wonderboy!
     
    #199     Jul 12, 2012
  10. Bought @ 1339, Stop @ 1329.50

    Reversed at this level as the bulls took over and broke the downtrend channel drawn in an earlier post. Realized proceeds $125.

    Total profit since beginning: $14,775
     
    #200     Jul 13, 2012
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