ES: patterns & rockets

Discussion in 'Journals' started by 1contract, Jun 19, 2003.

  1. 14:15 Begin

    Mkt been trending down most of day I see. Lack of support from on acc/dis & TICK suggest it might be over. Looking for bottom formation.

    14:30 Breaks previous low but no follow through. TICK spiked down to
    new low, but quickly back up again. Still looking for consolidation/reversal.

    15:05 Breaks previous low but again no follow through.

    B1 999.25 997.25 -2.00
    (15:38) (15:49)

    Bought the break of previous hi - stopped out. I (sh)could have had a cheaper exit when the b.o. didn't develop - but I liked the look of the little channel & hung on. FAILED BOs MUST BE EXITED QUICKLY.

    15:55 Quit

    Postmortem: Given that I was looking for consolidation right from the (my) start - which was already quite late in day - perhaps my initial comment should have been: "looks like congestion for the rest of the day - go play with the children" :)

    Day:
    - RT: 1 (0 winner, 1 losers, 0 scratch)
    - PL: -2.00

    Month:
    - RT: 11 (6 winner, 5 losers, 0 scratch)
    - PL: -5.25
     
    #61     Jul 15, 2003
  2. gwnorth

    gwnorth

    like I suggested slow things down filter your trades to 50 or 100 lot size only and then you'll get a better idea how the larger lot contract sizes are played and maybe use this technique on a 1 or 4 min chart as well

    capiche
     
    #62     Jul 15, 2003
  3. .
     
    #63     Jul 16, 2003
  4. Try again.
     
    #64     Jul 16, 2003
  5. 9:30 Begin

    S1 998.25 998.25 0.00
    (9:55)

    Sell rocket as per signal. Ignored exit signal for a few moments & got a slightly better exit price.
    [hindsight: as I feared, when waiting offers a better exit price, there's a good chance exiting was the wrong choice :( ]

    10:12 Rocket started again & motoring away without me, but meeting some res lines now @ 93-94.

    10:35 Rocket continues. Had I re-entered on next signal, I would have had to have stop around 1.25 pts - to have made 6-9 pts.

    10:40 Last price low div from TICK & MACD hist - but supported by acc/dis.

    S1 989.25 87.75 +1.50
    (11:10)

    Sell the break of the little pennant (a little late). Snatch a quick profit as I have a fib @ 7.50.
    [hindsight: good exit]

    11:25 OK now we have vol dropping; div on MACDhist & TICK; & near midday. I have to quit soon - so why not now!

    Summary:

    Day:
    - RT: 2 (1 winner, 0 losers, 1 scratch)
    - PL: +1.50

    Month:
    - RT: 12 (7 winner, 5 losers, 1 scratch)
    - PL: -3.75
     
    #65     Jul 17, 2003
  6. gwnorth

    gwnorth

    heres a suggestion 1contract what I've found useful is OBV (onbalance volume) to replace volume and accumulation distribution and CCI both leading indicators I have found good CCI help at Woodies CCI CLub
     
    #66     Jul 17, 2003
  7. gwnorth,

    I know that OBV & acc/dis are similar.
    - do you think OBV is better?
    - in what way?

    1c
     
    #67     Jul 17, 2003
  8. gwnorth

    gwnorth

    1 contract how do you attach your charts it might be easier to show you that way.
     
    #68     Jul 17, 2003
  9. gw,

    When you reply there is a 'browse' button below the text area. If you click here you can browse to a chart that you have saved on your PC, and attach it. PNG is the probably the best format. I save as BMP from QCharts & use Windows Paint to saveas .PNG. I don't think you can uplaod a BMP drectly as it is too big.
     
    #69     Jul 17, 2003
  10. 9:45 Begin

    S1 985.50 983.25 +2.25
    (10:07) (10:19)

    Sell the break of LoD, which turned into a rocket. Exit before exit signal on basis that volume was stalling.
    [hindsight: rocket subsequently failed - so good exit]

    S1 983.50 983.25 +0.25
    (10:38)

    Sell the b.o. of little pennant. Bailed for small profit when acc/dis failed to make a new low.
    [hindsight: could have got more profit (+1.00) but decision to exit was basically sound]

    10:47 So now we have a potential double bot. with bullish div on
    acc/dis - but TICK very low]

    10:50 Double bot. completes but didn't enter because b.o. vol low
    [hindsight: good decision]

    11:10 Had I taken the double bot I would have needed a 2pt stop to
    stay in for (currently) +1. Indicators show a rocket at the minute but volume tells a different story - sit on hands.

    11:15 Volume falling off and appraoching dead zone so quit.

    Summary:

    Day:
    - RT: 2 (2 winner, 0 losers, 0 scratch)
    - PL: +2.50

    Month:
    - RT: 14 (9 winner, 5 losers, 1 scratch)
    - PL: -1.25
     
    #70     Jul 17, 2003