ES Journal Archive (2011)

Discussion in 'Journals' started by Buy1Sell2, Jan 3, 2011.

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  1. Leptokurtosis
    A state in which the volatility of a security is itself not volatile. That is, lepkurtosis is a state in which the volatility of a security changes at a relatively low rate. This is shown on a chart by a distribution line with data points resembling fat tails and a higher mean, with an even distribution. See also: Kurtosis, Platykurtosis.
     
    #9221     Aug 4, 2011
  2. volente_00

    volente_00

    R70 hit to the tick


    let the rally begin


    :)
     
    #9222     Aug 4, 2011
  3. volente_00

    volente_00

    juicy spy premiums for sept


    120 puts hinting at move to 1150


    and calls locked to take no heat unless we close above 1250


    The only question now is due we trade down to 1150 or do we trade back to 1245-50 area on a squeeze to retest the neck and then from there to 1150
     
    #9223     Aug 4, 2011
  4. If only we knew the right answer. But what about tomorrow?
     
    #9224     Aug 4, 2011
  5. Indeed I did. Who knew we would move 72 points in 24 hours! I have to take the good with the bad. Thanks for the good wishes though. I'll do my best to get them next time.
     
    #9225     Aug 4, 2011
  6. joneog

    joneog

    Live to trade another day. On the bright side, you got out of that partial near the pre-market highs.

    At least you had a plan and stayed true to your stop, plenty of people would have blown up averaging into this move.

    Of course, now that you're out, you know the market's going to rally just to rub it in.
     
    #9226     Aug 4, 2011
  7. JSHINV

    JSHINV

    Another thing I am looking at is on the SPX the 50 day SMA is pointing down and close (15-20 points) to the 200 day SMA which is flattening out. Will the 50 day SMA bounce or cross below the 200 day SMA? It's not something one would look at every day, its a long term thing - but they are close.
     
    #9227     Aug 4, 2011
  8. It seems you called the bottom and knew where every resistance level was. If you had only done that trade in reverse.

    I wish I would have seen you make 20-30k.


    This was in response to iloveoptions
     
    #9228     Aug 4, 2011
  9. Thank you joneog for the kind words. The market will more than likely rally, that's nearly certain. Because we both feel that way, I re-entered long with 1 position on a stop at 1199 not too long ago. My adds are awaiting at 1188.5 and 1184 in case we dump some more before we rally hard again. No stop on this 1 position, lol.
     
    #9229     Aug 4, 2011
  10. volente_00

    volente_00

    black box has spit out tradeable bottom of 1137 to 1145 this year
     
    #9230     Aug 4, 2011
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