Just trying to consider both perspectives, I don't think either is a slam dunk. Higher grain prices + US net exporter => good for US Weaker dollar/Higher prices of imports => good for US exporters and US employment Higher oil & distillates prices + US net exporter of distillates => bad for drivers, but good for US oil companies and oil-driven communities Etc.
I believe I traded the only ES confirmed short setup of RTH, sh @ 1153.50, showed me 2 pts and took it right back again. I should've taken that as a long signal Trading ES feels so weird after trading CL all this time
I realize many people are expecting a breakdown, but so far it looks more like a trend day (pause) Now it craters
2 weeks ago when it was the same pattern I posted: Nice short signal at the upper BB ( 3 pts) and so far the lower BB long is up 2 pts... I said at 11 am: I will write the description and play in a separate thread over the weekend... Edit: the long just got the exit signal (upper BB reached) with 3 pts....