ES Journal Archive (2006 - 2008)

Discussion in 'Journals' started by Buy1Sell2, Mar 2, 2006.

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  1. I have the same SPY option volume numbers on my TOS platform.

    80 calls: 947,531
    84 calls: 504,946
    85 calls: 782,622
     
    #50441     Dec 18, 2008
  2. Definitely bad data ...Way way above normal volume


    in fact, TOS Dec calls volume are less than 1000
    ver low, this could be wrong also

    Strike Vol
    80 : 11
    81 : 0
    82 : 20
    83 : 123
    84 : 26
    85 : 374
     
    #50442     Dec 18, 2008
  3. I think you are looking at the December quarterly spy options that expire at the end of the month.
     
    #50443     Dec 18, 2008
  4. yes, my error.

    Looking at SPY call volumes, these are definitely wrong, especially for deep ITM options.

    80 : 947,531
    81 : 194,254
    82 : 174, 252
    83 : 203, 148

    compared with ATM 89 call with volume 51,488; ATM and
    nearby options trade higher volumes.


    Also, compare the heavily traded SPX options -- SPX 900 call volume is 26,599
     
    #50444     Dec 18, 2008
  5. volente_00

    volente_00

    Has to be bad data, if not that is some serious hedging going on.
     
    #50445     Dec 18, 2008
  6. Good point. Something is off.
     
    #50446     Dec 18, 2008
  7. Don't forget SPY EX-DIVIDEND date is tomorrow, lots of games being played today with deep ITM call options to capture the dividend/hedge/etc. I really don't enjoy how they make the quarterly ex-dividend dates on the same day as expiration, but there are several ways to deal with this.

    My educated guess on why the volume dropped off between 86 and 88 - look at the cost of creating a synthetic call (going long stock and buying a put option in order to have the same position as the call AND collect the dividend). Coincidentally, the put options at 87 and 88 were last priced at 0.45 and 0.70 respectively, the dividend has been within this range of values every other quarterly distribution this year (so far).

    http://www.amex.com/?href=/etf/prodInf/EtPiDistributn.jsp?Product_Symbol=SPY
     
    #50447     Dec 18, 2008
  8. dmartin

    dmartin

    12-18-08 11:34 AM
    Bought half my position back here at 887.5

    12-18-08 12:23 PM
    Buying rest of postion here at 874.5

    With these two positions I purchased today I was fully invested. Just sold half my position at 886.25

    DMartin

    PS Stop is still at 839 for my remaining half position
     
    #50448     Dec 19, 2008
  9. 12/19/2008 08:47 DJ White House To Give Auto Makers $13.4B From TARP-Officials


    12/19/2008 08:49 =DJ OIL FUTURES:Nymex Crude Breaks $34/Bbl, Demand Concerns Hold
     
    #50449     Dec 19, 2008
  10. Colorful charts from Wood who says:

    Hi. ES has closed positively above its 50d sma only once.

    And that was FED day.

    His first target is 830
     
    #50450     Dec 19, 2008
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