Thursday, December 18, 2008 Exp Prev ET/GMT 0830/1330 Dec 13 Jobless Claims Weekly Jobless Claims 550K 573K Weekly Jobless Claims Net Change -23K +58K
The ascending triangle comes from a drop, not a run up. You showed the chart too. So a break out of the top of that triangle can simply means that it turns into a huge ledge topping around 938-948 area A break of the support trendline, however, implies down trend continuation. So to me the bullish case (daily swing) is good for at most 20 pts up and then another down move.
In case anyone interested, - yesterday was tight range day at 23.75 pts, breakout direction would be important - VWAP of yesterday = Pivot today at 905-906 area - R1 (RTH only) at 916 - S1 (RTH only) at 892.25 Edit: Key point to the direction of today is whether ES holds the 905-906 area in the 1st 1/2 hr after open.
Agree. 893 first support, then 882, 865 Resistance - solid band from 909 to 914, but if overcome ES can rally as high as 939 today