ES Journal Archive (2006 - 2008)

Discussion in 'Journals' started by Buy1Sell2, Mar 2, 2006.

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  1. mbusch,
    can you please post chart of 60 min TL. (showing 83)
     
    #25441     Dec 5, 2007
  2. TL penetrated decisively. Retest of highs at 92 probable.
     
    #25442     Dec 5, 2007
  3. Previously posted chart (few messages up) showed that 60-min TL. Now busted all to hell.
     
    #25443     Dec 5, 2007
  4. ok
    now that I see the angle of that trendline I realize where the 1st price point was/is.
    thank you
     
    #25444     Dec 5, 2007
  5. Is it just me or was the world ending like a day or two ago. Spectre once again I think you have it right, pre fomc run up, good trading. Kudos to everyone who caught the gap up.
     
    #25445     Dec 5, 2007
  6. Short from 1484.00, half-position.
     
    #25446     Dec 5, 2007
  7. opt789

    opt789

    For those who may have missed the reason for the drop, at 12:56 eastern:

    "In prior research, Moody's identified five monoline financial guarantor groups as being most exposed to deteriorating performance of residential mortgage-backed securities: CIFG, FGIC, SCA (SCA), AMBAC (ABK) and MBIA (MBI). Based on further analysis conducted since early November, they continue to believe CIFG is most likely to fall below Aaa capital benchmarks, though they have announced a capital enhancement plan which would significantly reduce that risk. Moody's also continues to see FGIC, SCA and AMBAC as somewhat likely to exhibit a capital shortfall under one of the stress models previously described. And with regard to MBIA, additional analysis of its direct RMBS portfolio leads Moody's to believe the guarantor is at greater risk of exhibiting a capital shortfall than previously communicated; they now consider this somewhat likely."
     
    #25447     Dec 5, 2007
  8. Added short at 1481.50, now full-position.

    Initial target 1476.
     
    #25448     Dec 5, 2007
  9. Not this?

    "Several Wall Street firms have been subpoenaed by New York state prosecutors seeking information related to the packaging and selling of debt linked to risky mortgages, according to a published report Wednesday."
     
    #25449     Dec 5, 2007
  10. How about the fact that the market was extremely overbought and approaching overhead resistance?

    Does news move the market, or does the market move the news?

    Matters not to those who trade what they see.
     
    #25450     Dec 5, 2007
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