ES Journal - 2025/2026

Discussion in 'Journals' started by Buy1Sell2, Dec 10, 2024.

  1. 5800 next week?
     
    #81     Jan 2, 2025
    christhesquid likes this.
  2. The Market was serving them all day long!
     
    #82     Jan 2, 2025
    Picaso, schizo and christhesquid like this.
  3. Higher nominal index values = larger ranges/moves in points.

    I wonder if we'll see the first >= 250 point range in ES this year?

    The FOMC plunge on the 18th of December is the 2nd largest RTH range (213,25) ever. Down - 3.07 %.

    The largest range ever was in March 2020 on a 9.63 % (!) up day at 218.25 points. The index value was around 2600 then.

    A 5 % move at these levels is approximately 300 ES points. Not a prediction! LOL.

    EDIT: Typo.
     
    Last edited: Jan 2, 2025
    #83     Jan 2, 2025
  4. Schizo you read a lot, any thoughts on these books?

    upload_2025-1-2_14-53-21.jpeg
     
    #84     Jan 2, 2025
    Picaso and flash crash like this.
  5. flash crash

    flash crash

    I enjoyed it.
     
    #85     Jan 2, 2025
    Picaso and TrailerParkTed like this.
  6. schizo

    schizo

    This got me curious about what the largest RTH range was during those times when the market threw hissy fits. So here's a quick flashback.

    1) 1997 Asian Financial Crisis
    I clearly remember this day. Just plain nasty all around. Thought the sky was literally falling. Needless to say, I was a complete mess (aka noob) at the time. :mad:

    upload_2025-1-2_14-26-2.png

    2) 2000 Dot.com Crash
    I remember this day vividly as well. Oh, you should have seen the faces of those permabull news pundits. It was a day of absolute bliss for me. :D

    upload_2025-1-2_14-30-2.png

    3) 9/11
    Who doesn't know about 9/11? Thankfully, the terrorist attacks happened before the opening bell, so NYSE and NASDAQ both took the day off and then decided to take the entire week off. We were still not over with the ravages of the dot.com crash, so the pain was especially acute. You can see what happened when the market resumed the next week.

    upload_2025-1-2_14-43-2.png

    4) 2008 GFC and the birth of Fed scams (I meant interventions)
    No introduction needed here. You all know what happened afterward with the infinite number of QEs. No doubt, the greatest bull run in history. "Just buy the fcking dip!", so the meme goes. But before that, the hysteria surrounding the Lehman Brother's demise was unbelievable as well, as you can see here (and I think it was my best day up to that point).

    upload_2025-1-2_14-56-57.png

    5) Cerveza Sickness of 2020

    The year that started a global pandemic, which nobody has ever witnessed in their lifetime. And hoarding of toilet papers, also something that I've never seen in my lifetime. I mean, Geezus, who woulda thunk. Toilet papers, of all things.

    upload_2025-1-2_15-5-35.png
     
    #86     Jan 2, 2025
    Picaso likes this.
  7. schizo

    schizo

    Black Edge was good but pissed me off. How come nobody on Wall Street ever goes to prison? Billion Dollar Whale, another book on investing scam, was also a good read.
     
    #87     Jan 2, 2025
  8. mervyn

    mervyn

    comp lunrw and lunr leap calls, sometimes the warrants are better than options. my lunrw is up 939%.
     
    #88     Jan 2, 2025
    TrailerParkTed likes this.
  9. christhesquid

    christhesquid

    We really need to get a Discord channel going. If for nothing else, just to shoot the shit on things outside of trading.
     
    #89     Jan 2, 2025
  10. Yes, the V's aren't holding. It's been hard to adjust. So used to them leading to monster rallies. I thought for sure it would be green today.

    Usual future pump to start the night. Hoping for some blood tomorrow and then a massive ripper on Monday.
     
    #90     Jan 2, 2025