ES Journal - 2025/2026

2 for 2. probably done now.
Hunch says more down to come, but I ain't pushing my luck on the short side. Taking a 3rd short in a row on the day and then getting shredded by the bulls would be classic for me!

 

That would be the sensible thing to do, yes.

Semi. But only since I'm a SIM trader. Haha.

 

Must be the Norwegian sense of humour

Stay safe

 

no balls!
not to worry

 

tried little dip buy - not a great entry

 

FOMC December sold off sharply.

November was fairly muted.

September was a 70.75 point up spike.

I have a hunch today won't be muted.

 

Bought 1 SPY 0DTE 609 call (25$). Let's see

 

My hunch is stop sweep at the announcement (but no real change after the dust settles), then directional move during the press conference (up or down, your lucky ball 8 is as good as my best guess ).

Edit: and don't forget Tesla, Microsoft and Meta after the close

 

out here

 

Fed is expected to hit the pause button on rate cuts.
The surprise is on the upside IMHO.

MSFT & META likely bullish,
TSLA not sure but likely up.

Could be 100% wrong though.

Edit: Canada cut to 3 percent & ECB cut to 2.75