ES Journal - 2025/2026

Discussion in 'Journals' started by Buy1Sell2, Dec 10, 2024.

  1. mervyn

    mervyn

    insurance companies don't have access to fed's windows but obviously they hold more long term treasuries that those of banks.

    Asia’s $7.5 Trillion Bet on US Assets Is Suddenly Unravelling
    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/feat...hreatens-7-5-trillion-bet-on-us-dollar-assets

    Taiwanese life insurers — which were in effect recycling the trade surplus earned from the island’s semiconductor exports to the US — had posted a $620 million loss in April from the market volatility triggered by Trump’s tariffs. Goldman Sachs Group Inc.’s analysts estimated that a 10% appreciation in the Taiwan dollar could lead to $18 billion in unrealized currency loss for insurers, wiping out capital reserves.
     
    #5811     May 28, 2025
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  2. Picaso

    Picaso

    They had this move two weekends ago: a 10% swing from Friday (closed in TW) to Monday (closed in London), if I recall correctly, on a rumour that their exchange rate was part of a trade deal with the US (which they denied).
     
    #5812     May 28, 2025
  3. #5813     May 28, 2025
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  4. vztrdr

    vztrdr

    Fwiw... I'm bearish. I think we've topped out for now.
    SPX-->$5910
     
    #5814     May 28, 2025
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  5. SunTrader

    SunTrader

    #5815     May 28, 2025
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  6. SammyJ

    SammyJ

    Prez Chump has manipulated the mkt more in 4 months than any former prez did in 8 yrs . He’s pissed as hell because he can’t bully the fed . Come June 2026 when Powell gone i fully expect Chumps puppet Fed head to cause a massive monetary crisis as he’s instructed to lower rates . Mr Chump will find out the mkt punishes manipulated monetary policy
     
    #5816     May 28, 2025
  7. mervyn

    mervyn

    all eye on nvda, i bet es would drop, downside target 5900 range still
     
    #5817     May 28, 2025
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  8. Guy is a Narcissist disregard for other businesses and people. All he know is how to manipulate people to achieve his goal.
    When Charlie Munger was alive he predicted somehow US people would vote him back to office and its going to be bad for the world.
     
    #5818     May 28, 2025
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  9. mervyn

    mervyn

    the dump, some one has something
     
    #5819     May 28, 2025
  10. Picaso

    Picaso

    Or 1000% tariff on penguins, who knows these days? :D

    Edit: but it doesn't seem like it's Nvidia, it didn't even move
     
    #5820     May 28, 2025
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