ES Journal - 2025/2026

Discussion in 'Journals' started by Buy1Sell2, Dec 10, 2024.

  1. Sekiyo

    Sekiyo

    Just for accountability.
    Sold the bottom xD
    I lost the bet. 4%.

    upload_2025-4-7_21-15-19.png

    Unless we drop 20pts in 45min lol
     
    #3701     Apr 7, 2025
    NoahA likes this.
  2. schizo

    schizo

    Stay short until 35 and then flip long.
     
    #3702     Apr 7, 2025
    Sekiyo likes this.
  3. That 10:11 'fake news' move was really something. 292,75 points in 7 minutes. Wow. Did we ever see something similar?
     
    #3703     Apr 7, 2025
  4. SunTrader

    SunTrader

    Ever heard of thing called the "Flash Crash"?
     
    #3704     Apr 7, 2025
    Picaso likes this.
  5. Picaso

    Picaso

    They were saying before (I can't find the link right now) that there hasn't been anything like this, not even during Lehman or Covid, you'd have to go back to Black Monday

    If I recall correctly the flash crash was a bit more in terms of %, but less in terms of points.
     
    #3705     Apr 7, 2025
    Laissez Faire likes this.
  6. +220 points or so today. Some luck on my side. Might be a record day for me in terms of points, but when you consider how big the ranges are on these bars, it's not actually that amazing lol. Absolutely insane market!
    expecting we go down again soon, but hope i'm wrong as my investment account is crushed lol

    upload_2025-4-7_20-51-16.png
     
    #3706     Apr 7, 2025
    vztrdr, c1rcle, Picaso and 6 others like this.
  7. Makes sense. I could possibly find out in my database if I tweaked a few parameters, but not sure I'll bother. I traded through covid and I'm 99.99 % certain we didn't see anything similar.

    a) Looking at the move starting at 10.11:

    Price at 10.11: 5075,50.

    Move size: 298,00.

    % Change: 5,9 %.

    Duration: 7 minutes.

    b) Looking at the entire move from bottom to top starting at 09.45:


    Price at 09.45: 4867,00

    Move size: 419,50

    % Change = 8,6 %.

    Duration: 33 minutes.

    The biggest daily range in my database is 218,25 points over the course of an entire trading day. This was almost 1.5 times that in 7 minutes.

    I think the flash crash was around 9 %.
     
    #3707     Apr 7, 2025
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  8. schizo

    schizo

    Not even NFP or FOMC ever gave us a dildo that long.
     
    #3708     Apr 7, 2025
    Picaso and Laissez Faire like this.
  9. SunTrader

    SunTrader

    Well of course less in points. Index was much lower.

    Percentages are all that matter anyway. Day to day basis or year to year.
     
    #3709     Apr 7, 2025
    Picaso likes this.
  10. cesfx

    cesfx

    That was a work of art in market manipulation, someone made some good money.
     
    #3710     Apr 7, 2025
    Picaso and Laissez Faire like this.