ES Journal - 2025/2026

Discussion in 'Journals' started by Buy1Sell2, Dec 10, 2024.

  1. vztrdr

    vztrdr

    Yep. We're going up. Things are spring loaded for any good news. The "experts" are all saying how important this next round of earnings will be, because most everyone will revise their estimates down.

    But here's the thing... those numbers are already figured out. And they are figured to a worst case scenario. The algo's at places like Citadel, Renaissance, Bridgewater... they recalculate everything on a level we cannot even fathom. I mean all the bad news is out there, and I doubt this uptick is a short squeeze of any kind. All the shorts have taken their profits, even the smartest ones who held on thru Friday and today.

    We're heading north barring any surprises. Capitulation is over.
     
    #3681     Apr 7, 2025
  2. Picaso

    Picaso

    upload_2025-4-7_19-49-41.png
     
    #3682     Apr 7, 2025
    vztrdr likes this.
  3. vztrdr

    vztrdr

    #3683     Apr 7, 2025
    Picaso likes this.
  4. mervyn

    mervyn

    the surprise is cheetos adds additional 50% china tariffs to 104%, xi will slap him again with 104%, april 10 is the day.
     
    #3684     Apr 7, 2025
    Picaso likes this.
  5. The upward chop is brutal!
     
    #3685     Apr 7, 2025
    Picaso likes this.
  6. mervyn

    mervyn

    #3686     Apr 7, 2025
  7. Picaso

    Picaso

    But, hey, I like your style: concise, to the point :D
     
    #3687     Apr 7, 2025
  8. vztrdr

    vztrdr

    There is a possibilty of that. Right now however, it would appear whatever wildcards are programmed into their models are discounting that eventuality. Or, it might already be priced in, which means if it doesn't happen, then we really blast off.
     
    #3688     Apr 7, 2025
    Picaso likes this.
  9. Picaso

    Picaso

    China tried playing nice and bribing Trump's family in 2018 and they still got hit with tariffs.

    This time they're not gonna play nice, offer him money or anything.

    Beyond a 20-30% tariff, any increase is just theater.

    This trade war against everyone benefits China's objective of decoupling from the US and makes it harder for everybody else to decouple from China.

    5D chess!!!
     
    #3689     Apr 7, 2025
    HawaiianIceberg likes this.
  10. mervyn

    mervyn

    they priced wrong as always.

    check aapl price, it goes back to 2021 high, apple is a proxy of china exposure. tesla is the second
     
    #3690     Apr 7, 2025
    Picaso likes this.