ES Journal - 2025/2026

Discussion in 'Journals' started by Buy1Sell2, Dec 10, 2024.

  1. Overnight

    Overnight

    I do not have a trade on. If you reference my journal thread, you would know this. You lack cogency.
     
    #3541     Apr 6, 2025
  2. Businessman

    Businessman

    E mini NQ was 0.5 tick back in the early/mid 2000s, before CME cut it in half to 0.25
     
    #3542     Apr 6, 2025
  3. schizo

    schizo

    upload_2025-4-6_18-53-59.gif
     
    #3543     Apr 6, 2025
    themickey likes this.
  4. How was Ken’s wedding? I heard it was standing room only!

    upload_2025-4-6_18-55-43.jpeg
     
    #3544     Apr 6, 2025
  5. Overnight

    Overnight

    Ken got married again? Meanwhile, I cannot find a suitable woman. Help me Baron Kenobi, you are my only hope!
     
    #3545     Apr 6, 2025
    TrailerParkTed likes this.
  6. schizo

    schizo

    We’ll probably creep up overnight, but expect a big drop at the open. The Q's can’t make a move without first slapping 400 on that damn chart first.
     
    #3546     Apr 6, 2025
  7. vztrdr

    vztrdr

    The best thing about @Buy1Sell2's journal here... it's like The Weather Channel when a Cat IV is bearing down on S.FL... The local ET viewership goes thru the roof.

    >>>"#1 market thread on the 'worldwide intrawebs'".<<< ~B1
     
    #3547     Apr 6, 2025
  8. vztrdr

    vztrdr

    You mean like this? ;)
    Great minds...
     
    #3548     Apr 6, 2025
  9. Interesting read before the Open tomorrow. I posted part of it, NYT will let you read it. Pattern Recognition, instant strange gut feelings, relevant to chaos and trading.



    In Battle, Hunches Prove to Be Valuable



    By Benedict Carey

    • July 27, 2009
    The sight was not that unusual, at least not for Mosul, Iraq, on a summer morning: a car parked on the sidewalk, facing opposite traffic, its windows rolled up tight. Two young boys stared out the back window, kindergarten age maybe, their faces leaning together as if to share a whisper.

    The soldier patrolling closest to the car stopped. It had to be hot in there; it was 120 degrees outside. “Permission to approach, sir, to give them some water,” the soldier said to Sgt. First Class Edward Tierney, who led the nine-man patrol that morning.

    “I said no — no,” Sergeant Tierney said in a telephone interview from Afghanistan. He said he had an urge to move back before he knew why: “My body suddenly got cooler; you know, that danger feeling.”

    The United States military has spent billions on hardware, like signal jamming technology, to detect and destroy what the military calls improvised explosive devices, or I.E.D.’s, the roadside bombs that have proved to be the greatest threat in Iraq and now in Afghanistan, where Sergeant Tierney is training soldiers to foil bomb attacks.



    Still, high-tech gear, while helping to reduce casualties, remains a mere supplement to the most sensitive detection system of all — the human brain. Troops on the ground, using only their senses and experience, are responsible for foiling many I.E.D. attacks, and, like Sergeant Tierney, they often cite a gut feeling or a hunch as their first clue.

    Everyone has hunches — about friends’ motives, about the stock market, about when to fold a hand of poker and when to hold it. But United States troops are now at the center of a large effort to understand how it is that in a life-or-death situation, some people’s brains can sense danger and act on it well before others’ do.

    Experience matters, of course: if you have seen something before, you are more likely to anticipate it the next time. And yet, recent research suggests that something else is at work, too…”

    Small differences in how the brain processes images, how well it reads emotions and how it manages surges in stress hormones help explain why some people sense imminent danger before most others do.

    Image
    [​IMG]
    Jennifer Murphy, a psychologist at the Army Research Institute, demonstrated a test used to determine the characteristics of service members who might have exceptional abilities at detecting roadside bombs.Credit...J.D. Leipold/U.S. Army
    Studies of members of the Army Green Berets and Navy Seals, for example, have found that in threatening situations they experience about the same rush of the stress hormone cortisol as any other soldier does. But their levels typically drop off faster than less well-trained troops, much faster in some cases.


    In the past two years, an Army researcher, Steven Burnett, has overseen a study into human perception and bomb detection involving about 800 military men and women. Researchers have conducted exhaustive interviews with experienced fighters. They have administered personality tests and measured depth perception, vigilance and related abilities. The troops have competed to find bombs in photographs, videos, virtual reality simulations and on the ground in mock exercises.

    The study complements a growing body of work suggesting that the speed with which the brain reads and interprets sensations like the feelings in one’s own body and emotions in the body language of others is central to avoiding imminent threats.

    ADVERTISEMENT

    SKIP ADVERTISEMENT

    “Not long ago people thought of emotions as old stuff, as just feelings — feelings that had little to do with rational decision making, or that got in the way of it,” said Dr. Antonio Damasio, director of the Brain and Creativity Institute at the University of Southern California. “Now that position has reversed. We understand emotions as practical action programs that work to solve a problem, often before we’re conscious of it. These processes are at work continually, in pilots, leaders of expeditions, parents, all of us.”

    Seeing What Others Miss

    The patrol through Mosul’s main marketplace never became routine, not once, not after the 10th time or the 40th. A divot in the gravel, a slight shadow in a ditch, a pile of discarded cans; any one could be deadly; every one raised the same question: Is there something — anything — out of place here?


    Clearing a road of bombs is one of the least glamorous and most dangerous jobs on the planet. It is also one of the most important. In May, coalition forces found 465 of them in Afghanistan and 333 in Iraq. The troops foiled more than half the traps over all — but about 10 percent of the bombs killed or maimed a soldier or a Marine.

    “We had indicators we’d look for, but you’d really have to be aware of everything, every detail,” said Sergeant Tierney, whose unit was working with the Iraqi police in that summer of 2004.

    ADVERTISEMENT

    SKIP ADVERTISEMENT

    In recent years, the bombs have become more powerful, the hiding places ever more devious. Bombs in fake rocks. Bombs in poured concrete, built into curbs. Bombs triggered by decoy bombs.

    Image
    [​IMG]
    “One afternoon I remember turning down a road in Baghdad we were very familiar with, and there’s no one out — very creepy for that time of day.” Sgt. Dan Gomez, speaking about when he and others sensed something was amiss and ended up avoiding a roadside bomb.Credit...Michael Appleton for The New York Times
    “On one route sweep mission, there was a noticeable I.E.D. in the middle of the road, but it was a decoy,” said Lt. Donovan Campbell, who in 2004 led a Marine platoon for seven months of heavy fighting in Ramadi and wrote a vivid book, “Joker One,” about the experience. “The real bomb was encased in concrete, a hundred meters away, in the midst of rubble. One of my Marines spotted it. He said, ‘That block looks too symmetrical, too perfect.’ ”


    Lieutenant Campbell had the area cleared and the bomb destroyed.

    “Unless you know what rubble in that part of Iraq looks like, there’s no way you’d see that,” he said. “I had two guys, one we called Hound Dog, who were really good at spotting things that didn’t fit.”

    https://www.nytimes.com/2009/07/28/health/research/28brain.html
     
    Last edited: Apr 6, 2025
    #3549     Apr 6, 2025
  10. mervyn

    mervyn

    #3550     Apr 6, 2025
    SunTrader likes this.