ES Journal - 2025/2026

Discussion in 'Journals' started by Buy1Sell2, Dec 10, 2024.

  1. You have no idea what you're talking about.
     
    #321     Jan 14, 2025
    Laissez Faire likes this.
  2. Because the V man is a little nervous right now. We are still getting the V's but they just aren't holding overall and not seeing a bigger rally. There is concern that some of the gaps in the QQQ are at risk or being filled short term. Even though it's a struggle for this to stay down, it's still somehow staying at a lower price if that makes sense. V man is a little disappointed the past few days didn't create a bigger V or more follow through.
     
    #322     Jan 14, 2025
  3. LOL you say that all the time. Come up with a better line.
     
    #323     Jan 14, 2025
  4. Sorry. I have a bad habit of stating the obvious.

    Please forgive me, V-Man.
     
    #324     Jan 14, 2025
    TrailerParkTed and p0box4 like this.
  5. Not sure it works that way. I believe CPI is most important.

    Last time PPI came first was in August:

    PPI-day: + 1,62 %; CPI-day: + 0,30 %

    Before that was May:

    PPI-day: + 0,44 %; CPI-day: + 1,23 %

    Today was basically flat on SPX and red on NDX. I'm inclined to think we may see a rally (possibly short lived, but that's another matter) tomorrow if the number comes in as forecast or slightly better.
     
    #325     Jan 14, 2025
  6. CPI *is* more important.
     
    #326     Jan 14, 2025
    Laissez Faire likes this.
  7. CPI release September 2022.

    One for the history books and a good reminder on trading through news. :)

    upload_2025-1-15_13-46-39.png
     
    #327     Jan 15, 2025
    Picaso and flash crash like this.
  8. flash crash

    flash crash

    One of the prop firms I've worked with is TradeDay. They have a rule related to what they call "Tier 1" news releases such as CPI, PPI, NFP, etc. You must be out of the market with no resting orders from 2 minutes before the news until two minutes after the news. If you break this rule, you lose your account, whatever the stage - evaluation, sim funded, or live funded.
     
    #328     Jan 15, 2025
    Picaso and Laissez Faire like this.
  9. flash crash

    flash crash

    Then:

    Now:

    I do not feel that this is intended a as call. All I am showing are the levels I feel are "when in doubt"* levels if a pullback is afoot. (I at first posted this to the wrong ES Journal - newbie mistake).

    upload_2025-1-15_8-15-43.png


    *"When in doubt, go long." @theapprentice
     
    #329     Jan 15, 2025
  10. flash crash

    flash crash

    NQ weekly chart and this looks more like a launch pad than a submersible.

    upload_2025-1-15_8-42-42.png
     
    #330     Jan 15, 2025
    Picaso likes this.