ES Journal - 2025/2026

Discussion in 'Journals' started by Buy1Sell2, Dec 10, 2024.

  1. mervyn

    mervyn

    probly it is good idea looking into short zn
     
    #3141     Apr 3, 2025
  2. Picaso

    Picaso

    Somebody was asking before for an emergency FED 50 points cut to better align the curve or something along those lines
     
    #3142     Apr 3, 2025
  3. schizo

    schizo

    Just to prop up the market? :rolleyes:

    Tariff is, by nature, inflationary. Does he not know cutting rates would inflate price even higher? On that note, that guy is an imbecile.
     
    #3143     Apr 3, 2025
    TrailerParkTed and Picaso like this.
  4. I have a custom statistical model which runs on numbers (no charts). With this model, I can insert a given market day at a given time and then read the balance of the remainder of the day.

    So, that's mostly how I arrived at that target, but I also like to use intuition, experience, eyeballing the charts and finally a bit of luck.

    The turn is taking its time and we may not see the final dump until the last hour which is when I will be expecting the LOD.

    Do I sound like a pretentious dick now? Yeah, I thought so. :p
     
    #3144     Apr 3, 2025
    Sekiyo, schizo and Picaso like this.
  5. Picaso

    Picaso

    You sound like a refreshing waterfall of wisdom to me :fistbump:

    Except when you're arguing with V-man, then you (both) sound like you're 12 :D :p
     
    #3145     Apr 3, 2025
    Sekiyo, Laissez Faire and schizo like this.
  6. schizo

    schizo

    Thanks but you didn't need to write a freaking dissertation. :) Anyway, you know I'm your biggest fan.
     
    #3146     Apr 3, 2025
  7. mervyn

    mervyn

    from price action perspective, sudden jump above 112 doesn't look very sustainable. one could short and have a price target below at 112 or 20dma
     
    #3147     Apr 3, 2025
    Picaso likes this.
  8. Picaso

    Picaso

    The problem I'm having with ZB and ZN lately is that I cannot "get" which theme is prevailing: higher inflation (and rates) or flight to safety (which "artificially" lowers rates). :confused:

    Also, I prefer to do swing trades with these, I don't normally bother intraday (I'm more attuned to ES).

    But thank you for the idea, I'll give it some thought.
     
    #3148     Apr 3, 2025
  9. christhesquid

    christhesquid

    Holding for 5425.

    [​IMG]
     
    #3149     Apr 3, 2025
  10. SunTrader

    SunTrader

    (BLOOMBERG)

    Nearly a $2 trillion wipeout

    Roughly $1.7 trillion was erased from the S&P 500 at the start of US trading on Thursday amid worries that President Donald Trump’s sweeping new round of tariffs could plunge the economy into a recession. The index is on the brink of a crucial technical inflection point that threatens a longer-term wipeout.


    The damage was heaviest in companies whose supply chains are most dependent on overseas manufacturing. Apple, which makes the majority of its US-sold devices in China, plunged after the open – even after a yearslong effort to insulate itself from trade wars.

    [​IMG]
     
    #3150     Apr 3, 2025