ES Journal - 2025/2026

Discussion in 'Journals' started by Buy1Sell2, Dec 10, 2024.

  1. christhesquid

    christhesquid

    I have a gap fill at 5626ish. Naked VPOC just below it.

    [​IMG]
     
    #2731     Mar 28, 2025
  2. I bought a few $471 puts for $.9 ave, they’re almost $2.20. Is there no end to the collapse? Took them off now. I don’t have Schizo’s fortitude!
     
    #2732     Mar 28, 2025
  3. Picaso

    Picaso

    OK, that's more likely :D

    (Like Schizo I thought you meant next week)
     
    #2733     Mar 28, 2025
  4. schizo

    schizo

    If that ever happens, you're looking at nearly 3% drop. And that's quite a plunge, which doesn't usually happen unless there's a real panic. But either way, we'll get there eventually IMO. As I alluded to a couple days ago, this could be the start of another downtrend (eg. second wave).

    upload_2025-3-28_9-22-27.jpeg
     
    #2734     Mar 28, 2025
  5. See my prior post, @schizo. I mixed up SPX/ES. It should be the other way around.

    We should get another leg down, but we're closing in on a possible low for the day. I would say we'd need a 30 point counter rally to kill the down trend from here. Intraday.

    So, this is still an intraday short, but it's a sucker play to short this right here.
     
    #2735     Mar 28, 2025
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  6. WTF. Only a 8.50 point counter rally on this last plunge.

    Holy F this is some weak sauce.
     
    #2736     Mar 28, 2025
  7. schizo

    schizo

    Got ya. I missed your other post. I think we've made the low already and will very likely just chop from here to the close. We could see 10-20 point counter rallies but those are merely dead cat bounces.
     
    #2737     Mar 28, 2025
  8. For you chartists, on the daily chart, a measured move from the highs and down to last week’s pop-up puts us at about 5200.

    depending on velocity, this also puts us hitting the weekly trendline starting in Oct 2022.

    on the phone but can’t post a chart currently, but I can see 5200 in the coming weeks/summer.
     
    #2738     Mar 28, 2025
  9. Aloha Ted,
    Trading is lonely. @Apprentice setup a discord group to kick the shit in while day trading. I don't know anyone (in person) who day trades, and it's nice to help pass the time Pretty much just him and me, but a few other people from this thread stop in every once in a while to say hi
     
    #2739     Mar 28, 2025
    beginner66, Picaso and christhesquid like this.
  10. vztrdr

    vztrdr

    5580 ;)
     
    #2740     Mar 28, 2025
    Picaso, schizo and HawaiianIceberg like this.