ES Journal - 2025/2026

Discussion in 'Journals' started by Buy1Sell2, Dec 10, 2024.

  1. I'm still here. :)
     
    #2271     Mar 16, 2025
  2. mervyn

    mervyn

    read the article on walmart getting pushback from chinese suppliers, this time is for real, that additional 20% is coming to stores near you.

    the asian supermarket i went to was a a&p location long ago, so supermarket does have cycles.

    the point is consumer retailers run on a very thin margin. some may not make it out alive.
     
    #2272     Mar 16, 2025
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  3. Zwaen

    Zwaen

    Basics are inelastic, I would think
     
    #2273     Mar 16, 2025
  4. mervyn

    mervyn

    supply and demand, elasticity and substitution, micro eco 101.
     
    #2274     Mar 16, 2025
  5. SunTrader

    SunTrader

    Thin margins, as mervyn pointed out.

    And businesses with thin margins don't survive if margins get thinner yet. Higher margin items, relatively speaking, earn the profits.

    Sure big chains can hang in there with shoppers buying the staples, but only for so long before they need shoppers to grab snacks and deli items, etc.
     
    #2275     Mar 16, 2025
  6. Zwaen

    Zwaen

    Food and basics will be bought nontheless. Substitution takes place in the same supermarket. Junk food is eaten still, despite all negative effects.

    its the travel and cars >50k get hit most i think
     
    #2276     Mar 16, 2025
  7. SunTrader

    SunTrader

    NQ took ES up, now bringing it down.

    And one of the NQ leaders to the downside bigly once again TSLA
     
    #2277     Mar 17, 2025
  8. Picaso

    Picaso

    So far, very mixed market today.

    Edit: so maybe long YM?
     
    #2278     Mar 17, 2025
  9. schizo

    schizo

    No one shorting at 5700 yet?
     
    #2279     Mar 17, 2025
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  10. Exited a long there. Not enough balls to go short off that strength up. Great measured move spot though
     
    #2280     Mar 17, 2025
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