ES Journal - 2025/2026

Discussion in 'Journals' started by Buy1Sell2, Dec 10, 2024.

  1. Relentless

    Relentless

    What's the point?

    The money has been in selling all rips for three weeks in a row now.

    Taking longs in current structure makes no sense.
     
    #2221     Mar 13, 2025
  2. Relentless

    Relentless

    I think @flash crash is right. Close out the week near the lows. Maybe we can see some capitulation and panic finally into Monday morning. This rubberband is going to snap back at some point, although I'm pretty sure we are headed down after that bounce to put one more fresh low in at the very least.

    I'd like to see some panic selling into the close tomorrow followed by a fat gap down to get long off of (still risky as hell).
     
    #2222     Mar 13, 2025
  3. Buy1Sell2

    Buy1Sell2

    Longs can be taken with close stops as nearly everyday there are long opportunities on the 1 minute chart. A short that is held all day would likely need less leverage in my view. ES/SP is a long only market that offers quite a bit of support in general.
     
    #2223     Mar 13, 2025
    HawaiianIceberg and Picaso like this.
  4. Relentless

    Relentless

    Well the last three weeks it's been a short only market.

    Literally.
     
    #2224     Mar 13, 2025
    christhesquid, Picaso and Buy1Sell2 like this.
  5. Buy1Sell2

    Buy1Sell2

    Well, that depends on your time horizon. On the 1 minute chart, both shorts and longs were profitable. Long only means that ES/SP is in general a market with folks hungry to provide support and to bargain-hunt.
     
    #2225     Mar 13, 2025
    Picaso likes this.
  6. schizo

    schizo

    Oops, sorry. But my remark was in reference to the previous bear market. circa dot.com crash. Trump factor is just a catalyst for the current selloff, albeit a major one. I think we would have sold off anyway, with or without Trump's unremarkable input.
     
    #2226     Mar 13, 2025
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  7. Buy1Sell2

    Buy1Sell2

    The hourly chart appears to be losing downward steam. I think there is a greater than 50 percent chance of a large bounce tomorrow and I suspect there could be quite a bit of short covering. However, none of that matters if a trader doesn't use prudent risk management.
     
    #2227     Mar 13, 2025
    Picaso likes this.
  8. flash crash

    flash crash

    True. And yet I am sitting on a very good week at the moment and 75% of my net is from the long side.

    Goofy?

    Yes. Yes I am.
     
    #2228     Mar 13, 2025
  9. flash crash

    flash crash

    You are a man of contradictions, B1. A solid mystery to most of us.

    Have a good night!
     
    #2229     Mar 13, 2025
    HawaiianIceberg likes this.
  10. SunTrader

    SunTrader

    The "easier" money to be made is with the trend, and that trend intraday has been down for a while.
     
    #2230     Mar 13, 2025