ES Journal - 2025/2026

Discussion in 'Journals' started by Buy1Sell2, Dec 10, 2024.

  1. I didn’t know Elon was such a charitable man!






     
    #2011     Mar 10, 2025
    Picaso, NoahA, flash crash and 3 others like this.
  2. mervyn

    mervyn

    this is likely algo, it will have to close moc intraday i suppose. no fund managers are buying dip now.
     
    #2012     Mar 10, 2025
    Picaso likes this.
  3. mervyn

    mervyn

    how many shares?
     
    #2013     Mar 10, 2025
  4. My guess is 13,000?
     
    #2014     Mar 10, 2025
  5. mervyn

    mervyn

    so that was 700k bought at mid 50 and sold at 70, too much gambling money with these kids.
     
    #2015     Mar 10, 2025
    TrailerParkTed likes this.
  6. Open interest tends to stay fairly constant, so when the market gets too short, there likely is some short covering at some point.

    A big down day like today will close above the mid point only 8 % of the time.

    Should be interesting to see where this goes in the weeks to come...maybe we'll get a CPI surprise on Wednesday.
     
    #2016     Mar 10, 2025
  7. flash crash

    flash crash

    Still too much short covering into the close. The bottom comes when the bears sell all the way to the close and decide it is finally safe to hold overnight. How do I know that, you ask? Because that is how I wiped out half of an account in one day. Maybe a little more than half.
     
    #2017     Mar 10, 2025
    Picaso and Laissez Faire like this.
  8. mervyn

    mervyn

    #2018     Mar 10, 2025
    Picaso, Laissez Faire and SunTrader like this.
  9. This time is different.

    I don't think this is a regular 10 % correction and then everything is back to normal, because this is everything but normal.

    The last time we sold off was when inflation spiked in 2022 and the FED started hiking rates. Prior to that it was the covid crash in 2020 which recovered faster than anyone had imagined as rates dropped to zero and Trump showered Americans with helicopter money.

    This feels like something else. We're literally writing history.

    It seems like a divorce between the USA and the rest of the world.
     
    #2019     Mar 10, 2025
  10. Stop it. The V-force is too strong in this market.
     
    #2020     Mar 10, 2025