ES Journal - 2025/2026

Discussion in 'Journals' started by Buy1Sell2, Dec 10, 2024.

  1. mervyn

    mervyn

    i am not touching es/nq/ym until a more clear picture, cl/zn/zt are my go-to in the next few sessions, rty a maybe.

    on es reading, first line is 5665, obviously sep'24 high

    edit, if es takes to 10% correction territory this week, maybe, just maybe, folks will wait and see, take a pause to read, not panicking.
     
    Last edited: Mar 9, 2025
    #1951     Mar 9, 2025
    Picaso likes this.
  2. mervyn

    mervyn

     
    #1952     Mar 9, 2025
    Picaso likes this.
  3. schizo

    schizo

    It looks pretty good for the time being, so I ain't too worried. But we really won't know until the Euro session kicks in. I have a good feeling we will kick much higher before the opening bell though.
     
    #1953     Mar 9, 2025
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  4. mervyn

    mervyn

    i am going to bed soon, can't have open positions while sleeping
     
    #1954     Mar 9, 2025
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  5. vztrdr

    vztrdr

    BTC---> BUY BUY BUY!
    $82,253
    Use 1/3 of the dry powder.
    Buy the rest at $68,925... and use margin to max it out as far as you can. ;)

    upload_2025-3-10_0-10-10.jpeg
     
    Last edited: Mar 10, 2025
    #1955     Mar 10, 2025
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  6. trying L here 91.75
     
    #1956     Mar 10, 2025
    Picaso and flash crash like this.
  7. out be
    upload_2025-3-10_12-30-48.png
     
    #1957     Mar 10, 2025
    Picaso and flash crash like this.
  8. flash crash

    flash crash


    Why not wait until $68K and then use all the powder?

    I think Bitcoin is done, tbh. I mean Trump just put the full faith and credit of the USA behind building a Bitcoin reserve and it starts dumping in huge chunks? I'm not old enough to remember a similar top call in history but I'm sure if I had a few minutes with The Google I could find one. You really think BTC is a buy here?

    I'd buy it if they sold it as a physical currency. Like little 10 Troy ounce bars of Bitcoin.
     
    Last edited: Mar 10, 2025
    #1958     Mar 10, 2025
    TrailerParkTed and Picaso like this.
  9. Picaso

    Picaso

    This is not a rout - yet.

    If I recall correctly last summer we had a 10% or so drop in the ES, and then bounced back to new ATH.

    That said, we have more and more cards for testing that summer low or even have a 20% correction all the way to 5000.

    A 25% tariff would be bearish, but digestable. However, this on and off and then some more on, etc. (leaving aside all political implications) is devastating for markets, imho.

    Plus all the lawsuits coming up.

    Best trading to all, specially to the brave ones who post live trades :fistbump:

    Edit: in other news, another week, another margin increase by Interactive Brokers, 20,000 cool USD to trade 1 single ES. EUR and JPY futures almost double the margin from a couple of months ago. This, in my view, is bearish.
     
    Last edited: Mar 10, 2025
    #1959     Mar 10, 2025
  10. Picaso

    Picaso

    Mmm... I'm not sure if V (the good V, not the V-cheerleader :p) is being serious or joking or meaning get short and exit at 68.
     
    #1960     Mar 10, 2025