ES Journal - 2025/2026

Discussion in 'Journals' started by Buy1Sell2, Dec 10, 2024.

  1. Buy1Sell2

    Buy1Sell2

    Yes---it would need to break out to complete the pattern.
     
    #1091     Feb 7, 2025
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  2. Technical analysis < Trump / FED

    The market seems range bound to me. I know some people like to refer to candle open/close as supply/demand and the wicks as excess.

    upload_2025-2-7_18-48-46.png
     
    #1092     Feb 7, 2025
    c1rcle, Sekiyo, Picaso and 2 others like this.
  3. Buy1Sell2

    Buy1Sell2

    Here is what see on monthly

    upload_2025-2-7_11-51-11.png
     
    #1093     Feb 7, 2025
  4. Buy1Sell2

    Buy1Sell2

    That January bar is impressive in my view
     
    #1094     Feb 7, 2025
    christhesquid and Picaso like this.
  5. Buy1Sell2

    Buy1Sell2

    Here is the DMI on monthly. Doesn't mean the market can't go down, but right now trend looks intact.
    upload_2025-2-7_11-54-20.png
     
    #1095     Feb 7, 2025
    Picaso and christhesquid like this.
  6. out here+12.25
     
    #1096     Feb 7, 2025
  7. Picaso

    Picaso

    You can diversify by trading:
    • Different versions of a same class of financial instruments (for example, for equities: individual stocks, ETFs / futures, options, etc.)
    • Different classes: stocks, treasuries, forex...
    • Different sectors within a class (for example, for futures: equities, energy, agris, etc.)
    • Different timeframes, normally, in order not to go crazy, using different accounts (or instruments), for example, you could swing trade long ES and daytrade short MES)
    Also:

    For me cutting loses has (for the most part, save a few times many years ago that I would go on tilt) not been a problem.

    However, letting *big* winners run was a problem for a very long time. I'm not talking about x10 or x20 R (risking 2 ES points to make 20 or 40 points - getting those trades without being stopped out on a trailing stop was a different issue), I'm talking about being up (in mid-size account) 50% with several contracts and start to freak out about losing the open profits, when the trade had plenty of room to run.

    So I found that I cannot hold for big winners when I have 100% of my account in one single trade, but I have not so much of a problem if I have 20% each in two long term trades that have the potential to double, 20% in a swing trade that is oscillating between +10% and 40%, 20% in a stock that is up 70%, and then day trade with the rest to smoothen the curve.

    But then again, sometimes it becomes a bit too much (for me) to keep track of everything, so you get the feeling that you're missing trades where you should go for a homeurn (but that in practice, at least in the past, I would cut short).
     
    #1097     Feb 7, 2025
    Laissez Faire and Buy1Sell2 like this.
  8. flipped it short after that exit
    worked better than the long. Not much drawdown
    upload_2025-2-7_18-44-50.png
     
    #1098     Feb 7, 2025
  9. Buy1Sell2

    Buy1Sell2

    1 minute chart, but looking at that you can actually see what the 5 and 15 would look like. We've got 3 attempts at a bottom here.

    upload_2025-2-7_13-5-12.png
     
    #1099     Feb 7, 2025
    Picaso likes this.
  10. Buy1Sell2

    Buy1Sell2

    In my view, if you are using a 1 minute chart, it's important to look at it in a very wide view in order to get better context.
     
    #1100     Feb 7, 2025
    Picaso and HawaiianIceberg like this.