ES Journal - 2023/2024

Discussion in 'Journals' started by Buy1Sell2, Dec 6, 2022.

  1. mervyn

    mervyn

    nvda dumped was completed for the day, more downside on m7.
     
    #9561     Jul 30, 2024
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  2. schizo

    schizo

    Short 65
    SL 71
     
    #9562     Jul 30, 2024
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  3. schizo

    schizo

    Flip long 67 (-2)
    SL 62
     
    #9563     Jul 30, 2024
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  4. schizo

    schizo

    Flip short 62 (-5)
    SL 67
     
    #9564     Jul 30, 2024
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  5. schizo

    schizo

    Stopped out (-5)

    Long 66
    SL 59
     
    #9565     Jul 30, 2024
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  6. Picaso

    Picaso

    Why options, instead of straight-up shares? With volatility high, aren't you overpaying?
     
    #9566     Jul 30, 2024
  7. schizo

    schizo

    Who said "After 3 touches, it usually reverses"?
     
    #9567     Jul 30, 2024
  8. poopy

    poopy

    Aug2. 95 vol-line. Beta/sector reporting. Vols will drop even with the boost to the line as we approach exp (vol as synth-time). MSFT and META. Hard to predict but I'd think we will see mid 80 vols in Aug2 tomorrow. ofc these are all gamma so you would need to see 110 vols x-sectionally (static Px and time). If these were two weeks out you would see it drop 15 on the vol-line.
     
    #9568     Jul 30, 2024
  9. poopy

    poopy

    IOW, if you were running the synthetic straddle you'd be paying >$7 premium which I'd advise against. Not that it won't pay out but you'll probably miss the gamma-trade dot shots (pre-mkt).
     
    #9569     Jul 30, 2024
  10. vanzandt

    vanzandt

    It's relative. Depending on how long you want to hold them. They went up to $4.25 shortly after I wrote that. If one doesn't want to go for a grand slam, and you see a reversal like that, just grab a quick 10% return.

    There's 3 very volatile days left this week too, and nvda could easily go above $112 for a 100% plus return.
     
    #9570     Jul 30, 2024
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