ES Journal - 2023/2024

Discussion in 'Journals' started by Buy1Sell2, Dec 6, 2022.

  1. there are 3 time pivots in ES

    - london 2am
    - NY 9:30 -10 am
    - NY 2pm (1pm Chicago time) - everyone comes back from lunch to evaluate, so it couldn't capture the morning momo and sold off..
     
    #9411     Jul 25, 2024
  2. If you read my prior post I did call for a short this afternoon, although it exceeded my entry point by 10 points and exceeded my suggested target to the downside. I also called for new lows today yesterday.

    I also made a post last Friday saying I believe it's possible the market has started a correction. So, I wouldn't say it's just hindsight.

    Having traded through a lot of high volatility regimes over the last 10 years, this week doesn't strike me as anything special. Although of course it's a completely different market than we've seen over the last year or so. If we see a full 10 % correction the market have plenty downside still. If it's a correction similar to the last one (around 7 %), we have another 100 points to go.
     
    #9412     Jul 25, 2024
    Picaso and Spectre2007 like this.
  3. Market will sell off till few days before Harris/Trump debate. (sept 10-17)
     
    #9413     Jul 25, 2024
  4. Today looks a lot like a day in March 2022 doesn't it? Even the prior day pattern looks kind of similar.

    What you see every day in the market is some familiar pattern repeating itself. Some more familiar than others of course. Today was an A. The V seems to be on holiday. :)

    upload_2024-7-25_22-58-5.png
     
    #9414     Jul 25, 2024
    flash crash and Picaso like this.

  5. I believe Vanzant called the 5383 spot which should give a nice bounce of the weeklies. It’s just below your trendline.
     
    #9415     Jul 25, 2024
    schizo likes this.
  6. I like a long on the Globex Open if the market’s acting right. Maybe a weak dip below today’s LOD first. Targeting 5560 or more tomorrow.

    Could be completely wrong, but that looks like the play. :)
     
    #9416     Jul 25, 2024
    flash crash and schizo like this.
  7. schizo

    schizo

    5560? You're obnoxious, dude. :D It's more like 5460 (not 5560) is your best chance to unload before it flips on you.
     
    #9417     Jul 25, 2024
  8. Georpe

    Georpe

    It's also a bounce off the May anchored vwap and rejection of June.

    upload_2024-7-25_17-30-42.png
     
    #9418     Jul 25, 2024
    Spectre2007 likes this.
  9. Let’s see how it plays out. Market’s seem less predictable when volatility spikes, but if we open gap up tomorrow 5560 looks possible from my point of view. Seems like a stretch, though. I agree.
     
    #9419     Jul 25, 2024
    Picaso likes this.
  10. Zwaen

    Zwaen

    We are casted for the newest black-mirror episode, a large-scale psychological experiment/computer game.

    It's crazy indeed. Weird
     
    Last edited: Jul 25, 2024
    #9420     Jul 25, 2024