ES Journal - 2023/2024

Discussion in 'Journals' started by Buy1Sell2, Dec 6, 2022.

  1. essw72224.png
     
    #9181     Jul 22, 2024
  2. not enough tick rate (tick volatility), usually London has higher variance than what we are seeing. That upward regression on the 240 tick chart most likely wants to fail with the 60 minute NY session cascading down to the 5500 area.
     
    #9182     Jul 22, 2024
  3. maxinger

    maxinger

    High chance it will also be directionless over the next 4 hours.

    I am going for an extended extra-long coffee break.

    Good Luck
     
    #9183     Jul 22, 2024
    p0box4 and Spectre2007 like this.
  4. NoahA

    NoahA

    Can you try and explain to me again what you mean by regression? I honestly got lost when you tried calling it a vector. How is a regression different than a trendline?
     
    #9184     Jul 22, 2024
  5. they are basically the same thing, but a regression is an array of parallel lines with the same slope. Vector is another word for direction or slope of the line.
     
    #9185     Jul 22, 2024
    NoahA likes this.
  6. NoahA

    NoahA

    And is there any reason why you draw your trendlines blue while regression lines red? Do you have different rules for trendlines vs. regression lines? It seems to me like on the few charts you shared, your regression lines start out as trendlines, but then you keep them as price crisscrosses them back and forth. Trendlines on the other hand, for some people, seem to be invalidated once they are broken. Could this be one difference between them?
     
    #9186     Jul 22, 2024
  7. as a session unfolds the trendlines and regressions from other timeframes can be seen being approached by price. So the session trendlines drawn extrapolate out to other sessions. The breaks don't invalidate the trendline as long as the slope of the price vector is same as the direction of the trend.
     
    #9187     Jul 22, 2024
    NoahA likes this.
  8. the trendline is broken but price quickly reverses to get above it again. So the break is not valid. es72224b.png
     
    #9188     Jul 22, 2024
    NoahA likes this.
  9. as of now 4am EST USA,

    - EMA indication (long)
    - pivot indication (long)
    - session regression/trendline (long)
     
    #9189     Jul 22, 2024
    Laissez Faire likes this.
  10. going to catch a quick nap before NY session open.
     
    #9190     Jul 22, 2024