ES Journal - 2023/2024

Discussion in 'Journals' started by Buy1Sell2, Dec 6, 2022.

  1. schizo

    schizo

    Let's hope the V is complete on the daily as well. It's way too frothy up here. Bubblicious ain't my cup of tea. How about you? :)
     
    #8021     Jun 13, 2024
  2. Agreed. Feels better to push the long side at lower prices.

    I was actually anticipating some pulling back today, but I checked my statistical model around 12:30 and the V was the anticipated outcome given yesterday's structure.

    Let's see what tomorrow brings. :)
     
    #8022     Jun 13, 2024
  3. So, everybody loaded up on S&P put options? No?

    Somebody will pay the price....
     
    #8023     Jun 13, 2024
  4. Given yesterday and today - tomorrow looks like an Up Day as long as we don't open below 5405. :)

    Maybe 5460/70.

    A larger gap down open and maybe we can touch 5380 in RTH.

    But yes, it's getting frothy.
     
    #8024     Jun 13, 2024
  5. mervyn

    mervyn

    watch out for risk off trades before the summer starts.
     
    #8025     Jun 13, 2024
    Picaso likes this.
  6. schizo

    schizo

    If you plan to load up, you should do it now. Otherwise, it can get very expensive once the selloff begins. :)
     
    #8026     Jun 13, 2024
  7. That's been part of this whole run. Puts have been extremely cheap the entire time. Market has been assuming/pricing in zero risk. If it ever were to fall 2% in a day (which is impossible) one would make a fortune.
     
    #8027     Jun 13, 2024
  8. schizo

    schizo

    If we were to drop 2% tomorrow, we would end up at around 5400, which is the previous resistance as well. I say that's doable. Let's do it. :)

    upload_2024-6-13_14-35-24.png
     
    #8028     Jun 13, 2024
    Big AAPL likes this.
  9. schizo

    schizo

    Also I think this will be a pretty interesting play. If we don't close tomorrow (Friday) above the upper channel line, I think we might have a shot.

    WEEKLY
    [​IMG]
     
    #8029     Jun 13, 2024
  10. mervyn

    mervyn

    all the big techs have one thing in common, CHINA, including google and facebook. if things get ugly, 301k is an high number and see you at 101k.
     
    #8030     Jun 13, 2024