ES Journal - 2023/2024

Discussion in 'Journals' started by Buy1Sell2, Dec 6, 2022.

  1. mervyn

    mervyn

    #7041     Apr 15, 2024
    SimpleMeLike likes this.
  2. Hello mervyn,

    Thank you for the link Very impressive. I enjoy the link .

    Please tell me more about your type of trading please and how it can put me in the shelter. I like this type of this trading, with big big risk and whatever rewards. Please explain

    Thank you,
     
    #7042     Apr 15, 2024
  3. c1rcle

    c1rcle

    SPX back up to 5111 or 5125 and then another slower move down to 5000?
     
    #7043     Apr 16, 2024
    Laissez Faire likes this.
  4. I think we test yesterday's Close (5103.24) in RTH. Rally if it holds; new lows (but maybe muted) if not.
     
    #7044     Apr 16, 2024
    Picaso and Relentless like this.
  5. Stepping in front of the freight train with a short at 17.50. 4 point stop.

    EDIT: Auto-breakeven after 5 points of profit kicked in and kicked me out for a tick.
     
    Last edited: Apr 16, 2024
    #7045     Apr 16, 2024
    Picaso likes this.
  6. Picaso

    Picaso

    Nice entry.

    @Laissez Faire, you seem to do a lot of backtesting. Have you backtested if trailing stops in general and trailing stops to BE in particular is helping or hurting your performance?

    Edit: is your default R/R about 4 or 5 to 1?

    FWIW, I do tend to move the stop to BE very quickly, particularly on momentum plays. I am torn about it possibly hurting my performance, though.
     
    Last edited: Apr 16, 2024
    #7046     Apr 16, 2024
    Builder17 and Laissez Faire like this.
  7. Never back-tested it greatly. Just mostly experience and playing it by ear.

    There's nothing special about B/E in and of itself - meaning it can often be a random price point depending on your entry. In a market like ES which back-fills a ton - putting in B/E stops too soon can be deadly as you'll likely stop out and then the market flips back in your intended direction without you or at a worse price.

    That said, there's also something about not letting a winner turn into a loss, so I try to respect that principle and rather chance on getting back in if I was stopped out prematurely.

    Also, for me it's a function about how clearly I understand what's going on. If I feel I have a strong position/edge, I can simply hold confidently. If I'm clueless (like today at the moment), I'm more likely to reduce risk when I can and lock in whatever the market gives.

    R/R depends, but I try to at least maintain 1:1. Best to have minimum 1 risk for 2 reward, but it can be difficult on ES at times.

    In summary, it depends. :)
     
    #7047     Apr 16, 2024
    Picaso and c1rcle like this.
  8. Picaso

    Picaso

    Thank you, I was asking about the R/R because I know you normally have tight stops, but lately seem to be capturing 20+ points, so I didn't see the need to be so aggressive trailing stops. If you're targeting 1-2 R/R, then it makes more sense.
     
    #7048     Apr 16, 2024
    Laissez Faire likes this.
  9. mervyn

    mervyn

    powell again.. same speech
     
    #7049     Apr 16, 2024
    Picaso likes this.
  10. schizo

    schizo

    He pretty much says the same thing every time. But the market still clings on to every word coming out of his mouth. :rolleyes::banghead:
     
    #7050     Apr 16, 2024
    c1rcle likes this.