ES Journal - 2023/2024

Discussion in 'Journals' started by Buy1Sell2, Dec 6, 2022.

  1. vanzandt

    vanzandt

    So I don't have the news on... did something happen in Iran? XLE is at a 10 year high. What do they know that they're not telling us?
     
    #6851     Apr 4, 2024
    Picaso likes this.
  2. schizo

    schizo

    This is the beauty of reading the tea leaves. Nobody knows exactly what the "news" is, but they sure know something is brewing underneath. It's probably got to do with NFP tomorrow.
     
    #6852     Apr 4, 2024
    Picaso likes this.
  3. schizo

    schizo

    I don't think this is it, but something worth noting...

    upload_2024-4-4_12-50-52.png
     
    #6853     Apr 4, 2024
    Picaso likes this.
  4. schizo

    schizo

    In all likelihood, flight to safety. As you might already know, there are bulls, then there are bears, and finally there are the pussies. :D

    upload_2024-4-4_13-3-11.png
     
    #6854     Apr 4, 2024
  5. Picaso

    Picaso

    Don't forget the pigs :p
     
    #6855     Apr 4, 2024
  6. vanzandt

    vanzandt

    Did he really say "Or else?"
    Ahhh... that may gather a few votes from the severely pissed off former staunch Biden supporters... but that kind of verbiage won't work on Israel.
    They'll have the Mossad buying weapons from Iran... and the Iranians won't even know they're selling them to Israel.
     
    #6856     Apr 4, 2024
  7. vanzandt

    vanzandt

    I logged in to say use 5207.75 as a short, with a very tight stop. 5217.76
    Or short it now, with the same stop if you can stand the loss. Or add 5 points to that 5222.76 as an entry and go to bed and hope you get lucky, with a 5 point stop on top of it.
     
    #6857     Apr 4, 2024
  8. schizo

    schizo

    Some similarity to consider between today's selloff and the one on Feb 13th. Both had over 2% daily range and sold off (eg. red body) about the same. However, the important difference is the wick. On Feb 13th, selloff reversed towards the end of the session, thereby leaving a long tail. Today, there's a long wick at the top. Also the previous selloff stalled above the trendline. Today, on the contrary, not only did it crossed below the trendline, it closed below it FOR THE FIRST TIME. That to me indicates a definitive reversal of sentiment.

    This is not to say that we've entered the bear territory. Anything can still happen. But we're no longer under the full protection of the bull market like we've seen in the last 6 months (eg. just shut up and BTFD).

    Oh, and lastly, I think we will revisit that 5% pullback line, which coincides with the 2022 ATH.

    upload_2024-4-4_18-23-40.png
     
    #6858     Apr 4, 2024
    Builder17, Picaso and semperfrosty like this.
  9. vanzandt

    vanzandt

    Hmmm. I don't like it. Probably best to play it safe and close.
    5212
     
    #6859     Apr 5, 2024
  10. up on report
     
    #6860     Apr 5, 2024