ES Journal - 2023/2024

Discussion in 'Journals' started by Buy1Sell2, Dec 6, 2022.

  1. NQ struggling up here with its slow motion breakout. Probably tiring to be holding up the entire market.
     
    #4441     May 11, 2023
  2. schizo

    schizo

    Short 39
     
    #4442     May 11, 2023
  3. Going to be greedy on that one?

    I can see a weak dip to 4133 before moving to 4150, but I'm far from certain today. Maybe the dip already completed.

    Rolling over for a new LOD appears less likely to happen.
     
    #4443     May 11, 2023
  4. rb7

    rb7

    The good thing is, it's hard to lose big.
    The bad thing is, it's hard to make money.
     
    #4444     May 11, 2023
  5. Yes.

    The general problem in low volatility markets is that it can be very hard to recover from losses.

    With the volatility we've had over the last two years it's no problem to take a few losses in a row and you'll easily recover on your next winner or two.

    You ever tested your algorithm on NQ? I suspect this is only a temporary pause, but if volatility should stay permanently low for a while I'll have to consider NQ and even energy products.
     
    #4445     May 11, 2023
  6. schizo

    schizo

    We'll likely chop or go lower. I don't think we will go that much higher from here, if at all.
     
    #4446     May 11, 2023
    Laissez Faire likes this.
  7. schizo

    schizo

    Bitcoin is a pretty good contender as well.
     
    #4447     May 11, 2023
    Laissez Faire likes this.
  8. rb7

    rb7

    No, I've never tested it on NQ.
    I've tested it on CL, but with limited results.
    ES and NQ are too correlated for my taste.

    Losses from high volatility periods are hard to recover during periods of low volatility.
    The reverse is also true.
    Losses from low volatility periods are easy to recover during periods of high volatility.

    Volatility was also very low a couple of years ago (pre-covid), and for an extended period of time. I don't have stats to support that cause I don't keep track of them, but guys who were trading at that time can confirm.
     
    #4448     May 11, 2023
    Laissez Faire likes this.
  9. schizo

    schizo

    Out 26

    +13
     
    #4449     May 11, 2023
    Laissez Faire likes this.
  10. Close above 4140 if we don't make a new LOD. ;)

    If we make a new HOD - less certain...
     
    #4450     May 11, 2023