ES Journal - 2023/2024

Discussion in 'Journals' started by Buy1Sell2, Dec 6, 2022.

  1. If momentum picks up - maybe we'll see 4185.

    Range bound for now.
     
    #4341     May 8, 2023
  2. Maybe add a contract above 55/56 if momentum picks up.

    My statistical model says range bound today and I tend to regret fading that. There's a chance we can start ripping on a new HOD, but most likely suck in some late longs and drop back in range.

    I'll stop out B/E and re-enter if I still like the long side (probably).

    upload_2023-5-8_18-1-1.png
     
    #4342     May 8, 2023
  3. Stopped B/E. Looking to re-enter as long as the range low holds and momentum does not pick up to the down side. Let's see if I can get in at a better price or not. Working a buy stop above market.

    We could definitely roll over here, but shorting today seems risky.
     
    #4343     May 8, 2023
  4. Got back in at 47.50, but will stop out for 1.5 points or less. Rinse and repeat if stopped. Maybe back in at the same price or lower.

    Higher time frames look ripe for a pullback and the statistical bias for higher is not very strong, so no need to be over-confident and use too wide of a stop on this one. :)

    upload_2023-5-8_18-22-7.png
     
    #4344     May 8, 2023
  5. Bad_Badness

    Bad_Badness

    Running new Algo with a PF about 3.5. Averages about 2-4 trades a day and 4 point/day. MAE is about 8 points.

    This week: Paper-Live for Live testing-debugging
    Next week: Live on Ironbeam-Optimus with CGQ.

    Will report weekly results. Still need to find a BACKTEST ES data source for 5 second+ resolution that is reliable. Would be great if there were a "continuous" chart so I don't have to stitch it together every 3 months. Any suggestions are welcome.
     
    #4345     May 8, 2023
    Laissez Faire likes this.
  6. NQ wants to go higher, but ES stuck.

    Assuming we'll churn a bit before finally staking out a move, but quite possibly not a larger one today. Inside Day definitely possible.
     
    #4346     May 8, 2023
  7. 14.75 point RTH range. The smallest range so far this year is 23.00 points.

    Would be odd if we don't get a pop above 56.25 at least. I'm sure we'll see it.
     
    #4347     May 8, 2023
  8. Or a drop below...

    News or just thin markets...?
     
    #4348     May 8, 2023
  9. Inflation data on Wednesday?
     
    #4349     May 8, 2023
  10. I specifically meant the drop that started at 14:03 or so today. Uncharacteristic for this kind of day, IMO.

    A drop which I'm sure many sold near the low. Instant recovery.
     
    #4350     May 8, 2023
    Master Pu likes this.