ES Journal - 2023/2024

Discussion in 'Journals' started by Buy1Sell2, Dec 6, 2022.

  1. SunTrader

    SunTrader

    No actually. The opposite.
     
    #361     Jan 10, 2023
  2. Buy1Sell2

    Buy1Sell2

    I calculate trend on a time frame that is at least 5 times longer than my entry time frame. And many times, I use a 3rd time frame higher than that as well. I may trade against the trend as I see it, but those would have specific moves planned and tight room to make a profit.
     
    Last edited: Jan 10, 2023
    #362     Jan 10, 2023
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  3. Buy1Sell2

    Buy1Sell2

    For example---yesterday the trend after 1 pm was clearly down on the 15 minute chart, so longs would not be entered. This would confirm the 5 minute chart that also indicated the downtrend. Then the 1 minute chart would provide the oscillating, and or continuation, short entry and exit signals.
     
    #363     Jan 10, 2023
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  4. Buy1Sell2

    Buy1Sell2

    The same could be said from the open until 1 pm showing the 5 and 15 minute trends to be long, so shorts would not be entered on the 1 minute.
     
    #364     Jan 10, 2023
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  5. Buy1Sell2

    Buy1Sell2

    I have found that if trend cannot be identified on the larger and middle frames, I can enter either way on the short frame and buy and sell signals come very quickly after each other creating decent 2 way trading.
     
    #365     Jan 10, 2023
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  6. SunTrader

    SunTrader

    Here is DDF (with bars formatted to above/below it with a reset period that are uncolored) applied to last night's Globex open clearly emphasizing overnight down trend:-

    ! DDF micros.png

    Same I do for RTH open.
     
    #366     Jan 10, 2023
  7. Buy1Sell2

    Buy1Sell2

    That being said, in my view, weekly and daily trends have turned slightly up and so trading an hourly chart for me would be to the upside.
     
    #367     Jan 10, 2023
  8. Buy1Sell2

    Buy1Sell2

    Correct---overnight trend has been down.
     
    #368     Jan 10, 2023
  9. Are you still looking short and considering the trend down?

    I re-entered a swing long at 3900. Will add on a breakout above 3915/20.

    Small size (MES).

    From my POV, the trend is not down on the hourly. It's range bound and possibly turning higher.

    The problem with trend trading is that by the time it's identified you're often late to the party and it's about to reverse. Except when you get a really strong trend of course.
     
    #369     Jan 10, 2023
  10. Buy1Sell2

    Buy1Sell2

    And with the overnight downtrend, I see that as an opportunity to get a good jump higher today. Perhaps profits can be made if played properly and risk averse.
     
    #370     Jan 10, 2023