ES Journal - 2023/2024

Discussion in 'Journals' started by Buy1Sell2, Dec 6, 2022.

  1. chillibean

    chillibean

    shorted overnight for +9ish
    I'm long now. Might take me a few attempts (nearly stopped out a little earlier) but assuming longs are still good for now
    upload_2023-4-5_11-45-35.png
     
    #3681     Apr 5, 2023
    Buy1Sell2 and Laissez Faire like this.
  2. I wanted to add a unit at 22, but price moved too fast.

    Looking to add a second unit on a pullback or at higher prices.

    Locked in one tick of profit on initial entry now.

    EDIT: Added one at 23.50. Could still see a minor pullback, so holding stop at 19.25 for now, but might trail it soon. Average is 21.25.

    EDIT 2: Minor pullback - check. Putting stop at B/E for entire position now. Could be too tight and we may retrace once again, but I'll rather re-enter as I'm around to monitor.

    upload_2023-4-5_13-1-33.png
     
    Last edited: Apr 5, 2023
    #3682     Apr 5, 2023
    Buy1Sell2 and chillibean like this.
  3. Not loving this counter-movement.

    Coming up in 15 minutes. Could rattle the markets both directions:

    upload_2023-4-5_14-1-10.png
     
    #3683     Apr 5, 2023
  4. Maybe it's not proper journal 'etiquette', but I widened my stop by 2 points on that release as I had a hunch I could be spiked out.

    Not moving it again now, though, as we should have follow through from here.

    Still looking to re-enter long if stopped, but that might be in RTH if so.

    EDIT: And stopped B/E. Maybe that number was a game changer? Looking for a re-entry, but not yet. May have to start considering that today could sell off as well.

    upload_2023-4-5_14-24-9.png
     
    Last edited: Apr 5, 2023
    #3684     Apr 5, 2023
  5. In my humble opinion - 4115 is the level to pay attention to. We should hold above there today for the bull scenario to be in effect. Even an initial break below I'd be expecting to fail based on the statistics posted earlier.

    But if there's no bid on the Open and we drop below 4115 - all bets to the upside are off, IMHO. Just my guess.
     
    #3685     Apr 5, 2023
    Builder17 likes this.
  6. Messy.

    With NQ being so weak (so far), I'm wondering if that'll halt any rallies on ES. Still long biased here, but not betting the farm when NQ isn't participating.
     
    #3686     Apr 5, 2023
  7. That's an initial failure to breakout below yesterday's LOD and we snapped back inside yesterday's range. Let's see if this can reverse here or if it's just temporary.

    I can see this go all the way down to 4100 or even 4080 today, but I just don't have the confidence to press the short side today. Going with the original plan.
     
    #3687     Apr 5, 2023
  8. NQ falling of a cliff here. Let's see where this closes, but I was dead wrong so far for today.
     
    #3688     Apr 5, 2023
  9. Tricky day. The rejection at 11:38 was a nice second short entry, but I wasn't around.

    My statistical model (which was dead wrong so far, LOL) says continuation lower is more likely from here, so I'm a late short here.

    Seems to be a bid down here, so I'm not very comfortable shorting this so late. Targeting 4080.

    Anyone else around today?
     
    #3689     Apr 5, 2023
  10. newbie463

    newbie463

    I had a swing short that I covered shortly after the 1215et 5 min bar. potential double bottom bar - that didn’t play out tho. I was previously watching to cover in the 84-90 range.
     
    #3690     Apr 5, 2023
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