ES Journal - 2023/2024

Discussion in 'Journals' started by Buy1Sell2, Dec 6, 2022.

  1. Exactly, right.

    It seems like a personal preference as some people just like to see trades posted, but I personally prefer if people would share what they're looking and base their trades on. It's like the saying about giving a man fish for a day versus teaching him to fish.

    I also asked Chili yesterday what convinced him of his 4250/4300 target. I don't see why such questions can be considered condescending.

    I'm also of the view that we may be closing in on a medium term top, but I'm not sure if we're quite there yet. Maybe @schizo saw something I don't, so that's all there is to it.

    Unless I do use something which is secret (my statistical model for example), I don't mind sharing what I'm looking at and did in fact share the trigger for my latest trade yesterday. This is stuff that I think can be helpful for someone and put to use for the future in a similar situation.

     
    #3651     Apr 4, 2023
    NoahA likes this.
  2. I went long at 54 and added one at 57. Average is 55.50.

    I'm targeting 70 on this trade.

    I may be early, so same procedure as yesterday and will take a small stop out, say around 50, if I'm early. And re-enter if the range low holds once again. Maybe B/E on the next thrust higher.

    Rinse and repeat if stopped.

    If I was extremely confident, I would just use a wide stop, but as I'm thinking we're closing in on a medium term top, I have to be cautious here. Like yesterday, NQ is still lagging behind a bit, but hopefully it can pick up some steam to at least close the gap from Friday.

    Trade rationale: Trend is up and the pullback low held overnight. Nothing fancy.

    upload_2023-4-4_10-54-7.png
     
    #3652     Apr 4, 2023
  3. Hourly ES. I see demand below 50 for now.

    Possible supply and a failure to breakout above ~ 60.

    upload_2023-4-4_11-6-36.png

    NQ is a bit more sluggish and lagging behind coming into a range high here, but I'm assuming that gap from Friday's Close will be filled sooner than later.

    The thrust higher late in yesterday's cash session failed, but maybe we'll get continuation on this attempt. Could always fall back in range for either a reversal or more basing first:

    upload_2023-4-4_11-6-46.png

    This is what I see right now. Nothing fancy and no secret sauce. Basically, I'm always looking for either continuation or failure. And if it's failure, I have to consider if it's a permanent failure or just an initial failure to breakout as these instruments usually will make a few attempts before finally moving.
     
    #3653     Apr 4, 2023
  4. chillibean

    chillibean

    chipping away at longs myself on mnq. Just keep buying them dips is the plan until it stops working, I guess
    upload_2023-4-4_10-31-40.png
     
    #3654     Apr 4, 2023
    Laissez Faire likes this.
  5. Update on hourly charts. NQ is finally playing with! That laggy bastard. :)

    Now, I'm hoping it's just not a stop run and we'll see continuation all the way to target.

    upload_2023-4-4_11-43-44.png

    upload_2023-4-4_11-43-56.png
     
    #3655     Apr 4, 2023
    chillibean likes this.
  6. NQ went parabolic. A bit too high and too fast.

    I closed out that trade here at 66.50 on a trailing stop. The sun is shining and I have other stuff to attend to, so don't want to take the risk of a pullback, but I'm sure we'll see 70 as well from here. 70 was what I had in mind and we came close, so that's okay.

    Good day for my piker account. Done for the day unless I see something I really, really like later.

    Good luck all. :)

    upload_2023-4-4_11-58-57.png

    upload_2023-4-4_11-58-38.png
     
    #3656     Apr 4, 2023
    Builder17, ElCubano and chillibean like this.
  7. chillibean

    chillibean

    shoulda held my NQ a bit longer!
    Hopefully get another dip to get long for the next ramp
     
    #3657     Apr 4, 2023
    Laissez Faire likes this.
  8. chillibean

    chillibean

    closing ES from earlier here, too
    upload_2023-4-4_11-36-29.png
     
    #3658     Apr 4, 2023
    Laissez Faire likes this.
  9. schizo

    schizo

    Obviously

    Yeah, obviously (stopped out) :mad:
     
    #3659     Apr 4, 2023
  10. schizo

    schizo

    Short 4131

    For the inquisitive minds, this will be a "swing trade" (unless I get stopped out)

    SL 4161
    PT 4101
     
    #3660     Apr 4, 2023
    Laissez Faire and chillibean like this.