ES Journal - 2023/2024

Discussion in 'Journals' started by Buy1Sell2, Dec 6, 2022.

  1. I'm no expert on NQ, but it seems like it routinely will go down to a range low and appear like it's going to break (no doubt luring in a few late shorts) and then snap back up. Maybe even more so than ES.

    Or generally appearing weak - just when it's about to reverse.

    I may be about to take a small loss on my position here. Still bullish as ever on this day, but can't risk sitting through a deeper pullback and potentially an actual reversal.
     
    #3581     Apr 3, 2023
  2. chillibean

    chillibean

    stopped for another BE trade on NQ obviously. The weak one today so far
    Will leave it alone today and stick with ES
    Ideal plan is still wait for a dip after teh open to by for me, I think
     
    #3582     Apr 3, 2023
  3. Stopped on that prior long. Waiting to re-enter long.
     
    #3583     Apr 3, 2023
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  4. Buy1Sell2

    Buy1Sell2

    Staying long for now
     
    #3584     Apr 3, 2023
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  5. For example. See prior green candle. That bar must have looked really scary at one point.

    Based on RTH charts - I think NQ may have found some support here.

    I re-entered long on ES (29.50), but won't bother to update the trade here. Same game plan in effect targeting 50 on the day, although I see us going even higher. :)

    upload_2023-4-3_14-21-19.png
     
    #3585     Apr 3, 2023
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  6. Buy1Sell2

    Buy1Sell2

    M view is that one should never look at their entry time frame candle until just before it closes. For example, if trading the 5 min chart, I would not look until 30 seconds prior to the bar closing. For 15 minute chart, I would not look until 1 minute prior. For the 60 minute chart, I would not look until 2 minutes prior and so forth.
     
    #3586     Apr 3, 2023
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  7. vanzandt

    vanzandt

    Did you grab my 8 points? ;)
     
    #3587     Apr 3, 2023
  8. Sage advice.

    I haven't been quite sure when it relates to larger time frames, though. Generally, I'm more concerned with levels than actual bars.

    Here's how that NQ bar turned out. A strong reversal bar / false breakout.

    I was suspecting it... :)

    upload_2023-4-3_15-35-0.png
     
    #3588     Apr 3, 2023
    Buy1Sell2 likes this.
  9. So, is anyone greedy today?

    4150 seems like the safe target. If I wasn't putting money behind this I would probably be shooting for 60 or 75. But I think I will be taking 50 if I get it and be happy with that.
     
    #3589     Apr 3, 2023
    Buy1Sell2 likes this.
  10. Flat here on a trailing stop. Pulled the limit and decided to trail aggressively in case we broke through. Sometimes it works. Other times it doesn't.

    Seems like the easy money is gone for the day, so calling it a day. If I were to guess - we'll continue higher, but it's definitely not certain.

    I have a hunch we're coming into an area which could trigger a larger reversal down.

    upload_2023-4-3_15-57-26.png

    upload_2023-4-3_15-57-1.png
     
    #3590     Apr 3, 2023
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