ES Journal - 2023/2024

Discussion in 'Journals' started by Buy1Sell2, Dec 6, 2022.

  1. Unless we make a push lower come soon - we should see a new HOD by the Close today. 4040.

    Wrong if we drop below 4K.
     
    #3351     Mar 27, 2023
  2. Unless NQ spoils it all. My predictive model gives very good odds for a new HOD today, though... :)

    upload_2023-3-27_19-9-15.png
     
    #3352     Mar 27, 2023
    NoahA likes this.
  3. I'm not an expert on NQ, but I don't think it'll print an Outside Day.

    So maybe it will be a drag on ES until it bottoms out above Friday's LOD and then we'll take off.

    (I moved my stop 2 points).

    Shit could still hit the fan here, though. Just playing what I think are the best odds moving forward for today's session.
     
    #3353     Mar 27, 2023
  4. mervyn

    mervyn

    spent over an hour to short 5 points, it is tight range.
     
    #3354     Mar 27, 2023
  5. Bear trap, anyone...?

    I'm sure that last thrust down suckered in quite a few late bears - particularly on NQ.

    Okay. I moved my stop 3 points. Not 2. Big part of why I don't like posting trades is that I'm fluid and posting the trade management is a pain in the ass.

    I will scratch B/E if we fail from here, though. Ready to add some to this.

    upload_2023-3-27_19-22-30.png
     
    #3355     Mar 27, 2023
  6. Bears are f''ked now. Short term. Or do they have anything more left for today...? :)

    4017 is the final hurdle here for the bulls. It could reverse this, but I don't think so...?

    upload_2023-3-27_19-34-20.png
     
    #3356     Mar 27, 2023
  7. Grrr...thought I was safe, but that's a hefty pullback. Original prediction still in play, but shouldn't pull back much more than this for that to be in effect.

    Could turn into a late session sell from here after all.
     
    #3357     Mar 27, 2023
  8. spectastic

    spectastic

    what are the basis of your predictions?
     
    #3358     Mar 27, 2023
  9. Statistical data, i.e., price and time. No charts. Both pre-market (EOD) and intraday. Today's prediction was an intraday read of "the day today" at that point in time.

    I'm not the best at reading the micro moves, but I usually have a good handle on the major outlook for the day.

    I moved my stop. Again.

    Time is not on our side and NQ is a f''king drag today, so I will probably trail out for 5-6 points of profit if we reverse lower once more...

    upload_2023-3-27_20-22-10.png
     
    #3359     Mar 27, 2023
    vanzandt likes this.
  10. spectastic

    spectastic

    price/time as in market profile? are you using algo to assist you, or doing it yourself? I agree the bottoming formation was likely a bear trap the longer it took to fail to break down, but the prediction that we'd end the day above opening range intrigues me. Where did that come from?
     
    #3360     Mar 27, 2023