ES Journal - 2023/2024

Discussion in 'Journals' started by Buy1Sell2, Dec 6, 2022.

  1. Buy1Sell2

    Buy1Sell2

    I suspect that the low of the move will occur around 4018 ES
     
    #2461     Feb 21, 2023
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  2. Buy1Sell2

    Buy1Sell2

    Second bounce should occur now
     
    #2462     Feb 21, 2023
  3. If there ever was a bull flag on the daily chart that was destroyed completely today and on Friday with the foreplay starting last Thursday.

    I generally prefer being long as I always feel there's a bid in this market and I hate those intraday bear market rallies, but this looks like 4K to me. Statistically, the odds of this structure reversing up and printing a green daily bar by the close are not so good. More likely is new lows and this is technically a trend day down by now. We'd need a strong move higher to reverse that.

    But, like I said, I'm always fearful as a short, so I'm cautious here for sure. :)
     
    #2463     Feb 21, 2023
  4. Buy1Sell2

    Buy1Sell2

    Will begin considering longs if we get to 4043 ES
     
    #2464     Feb 21, 2023
  5. Buy1Sell2

    Buy1Sell2

    Bull flag is still there and this action is inside that channel. A bull flag shouldn't be traded until the breakout though I wouldn't think as that is the confirm of higher pricings.
     
    #2465     Feb 21, 2023
    Laissez Faire likes this.
  6. mervyn

    mervyn

    I had target mark 4023, 4014 but didn't trade so far, not sure, already -1.5% today.
     
    #2466     Feb 21, 2023
  7. I can see my younger self trying to pick a bottom here. It usually didn't end well... :)

    Agreed on the latter.

    Not sure about the former. Could you show with a chart?

    Here's my view.

    I don't think we'll see a bid until 4K. And who knows if that'll hold.

    upload_2023-2-21_17-32-41.png
     
    #2467     Feb 21, 2023
  8. Buy1Sell2

    Buy1Sell2

    3rd bounce should occur now.
     
    #2468     Feb 21, 2023
  9. Buy1Sell2

    Buy1Sell2

    Not trying to pick a bottom. I'm not in yet for a day trade and am looking for upside momentum first.
     
    #2469     Feb 21, 2023
    Laissez Faire likes this.
  10. mervyn

    mervyn

    100ma around 3989 is doable before fomc minutes, difficult call.
     
    #2470     Feb 21, 2023
    Laissez Faire likes this.