ES Journal - 2023/2024

Discussion in 'Journals' started by Buy1Sell2, Dec 6, 2022.

  1. schizo

    schizo

    In another word, STFU and just get used to it. :D

    In the meantime, I think I'll just "set and forget" until we get up to 4400. No more dicking around.
     
    #1681     Feb 1, 2023
    formikatrading and Buy1Sell2 like this.
  2. My God, it's happening again. One big swing up and all everyone is thinking is how much higher... :) Greed and fear. Nothing new on Wall Street, eh?

    If we look at the last 16 FOMC days through 2022/2021 and consider only the biggies to the upside similar to today - there were actually a few big ones to the down side the following day.

    Point being that just because the market rallied hard today that's not proof to me that this will have legs. And if today was a game changer - why did we close only 1.08 % up?

    This is just looking at price history of course. I've no idea what Powell even said today. Don't want to know either.

    For example last June - closing down - 3.21 % on the following day:

    upload_2023-2-1_23-20-50.png


    Oh. Last May as well. Closing down 3.54 % the following day:

    upload_2023-2-1_23-20-25.png
     
    #1682     Feb 1, 2023
    NoahA and formikatrading like this.
  3. I hear ya. I'm back to flat again. Still think this is a new bull market but am managing risk. And I have no idea what Powell said either!

     
    #1683     Feb 1, 2023
    Laissez Faire likes this.
  4. schizo

    schizo

    I would say, don't bother looking at the charts for the time being. Right now, it's all about market psychology. Everyone is pretty much blind. All they want is for the market to go up. You're better off talking to a wall. They don't wanna hear your crap. End of the discussion. (I think I should attach an emoji, but I don't know which one. Sorry.)
     
    #1684     Feb 1, 2023
    Laissez Faire likes this.
  5. ElCubano

    ElCubano

    trappin
     
    #1685     Feb 1, 2023
  6. destriero

    destriero

    time stamped (until open)
     
    #1686     Feb 1, 2023
    beginner66, ElCubano and vanzandt like this.
  7. Could be. :)

    Just a word of warning to everyone reading here. I have no idea what tomorrow brings, but what I learned was enough that I’m not taking any longs overnight with wide stops.
     
    #1687     Feb 1, 2023
  8. schizo

    schizo

    We've only turned the corner (eg. the first ever HIGHER LOW since early 2022) and the space is already crowded with insane enthusiasm. Just imagine what it would be like if we were to go back up to ATH. I personally have never been a big fan of "irrational exuberance". Seen it back in the heyday of Nasdaq bubble, again in the subprime housing bubble, and during the Covid FOMO. It's always the same story with same crap.
     
    #1688     Feb 1, 2023
    Laissez Faire and Big AAPL like this.
  9. vanzandt

    vanzandt

    Ahhh... I don't think it's quite over just yet. Look at the 2's and 10's today. The bond traders aren't buying it. Not that this run won't continue for a few days, but you'll get your "set it and forget it" cheaper at some point I think.
    If Apple comes in strong tomorrow and the markets take off again like a bat out of hell, out of the gate Friday... short it.
     
    #1689     Feb 1, 2023
    schizo likes this.
  10. schizo

    schizo

    Uhmm, I don't follow. It moved pretty much in tandem with SPX. Care to elaborate?

    (Futures)
    upload_2023-2-1_15-11-44.png
     
    #1690     Feb 1, 2023